VA - Data for Progress: Biden +11%

[philly09]

Northam won by 9, so this would be an improvement.

[philly09]

I'm old enough to remember when it was impossible for Democrats to win VA by double digits at the presidential level because of muh high Republican floor/inelasticity/overwhelmingly R rurals somehow overpowering NoVA.

It was clearly true at the time. But, Virginia changed. Virginia is very, very likely to go for Biden by double digits. 2020 Virginia.

John Kerry could have won Virginia if he had invested the resources. It was there in 2004.

[philly09]

I'm old enough to remember when it was impossible for Democrats to win VA by double digits at the presidential level because of muh high Republican floor/inelasticity/overwhelmingly R rurals somehow overpowering NoVA.

It was clearly true at the time. But, Virginia changed. Virginia is very, very likely to go for Biden by double digits. 2020 Virginia.

John Kerry could have won Virginia if he had invested the resources. It was there in 2004.

I don't think so. Bush was too strong in the South and the Obama coalition types were yet to be viable voters.

I always figured that Kerry would flip VA the way Bush flipped WV. Bill Clinton didn't lose VA by that much in 1996.