AZ - Data Orbital: Kelly +1
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  AZ - Data Orbital: Kelly +1
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Author Topic: AZ - Data Orbital: Kelly +1  (Read 928 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 02, 2020, 09:54:31 AM »

Oct 28-30, 550 LV, MoE: 4.2%

Kelly (D) 47%
McSally (R-inc) 46%
Undecided/other 3%

PRES: 46-45 Biden

https://www.dataorbital.com/the-blog/breaking-in-arizona-presidential-and-us-senate-races-shift-one-day-before-election-day
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 10:00:10 AM »

Changes with Oct 16-18

Kelly 47% (-1)
McSally 46% (+4)
Refused 4% (+1)
Other 1% (-1)
Undecided 2% (-3)
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 10:15:11 AM »

Getting me a tad worried; this faves me WI-Sen 2016 vibes. Moving to lean D out of caution
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Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 10:17:10 AM »

Looks like there has been a shift towards McSally, though Kelly was never gonna win by double digits. Still think Kelly has this locked.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 10:18:04 AM »

Looks like there has been a shift towards McSally, though Kelly was never gonna win by double digits. Still think Kelly has this locked.

Guess we should totally ignore those +6 and +7 Siena and CNN polls! The way people here overreact one poll JFC...
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MT Treasurer (Daines's Brain)
IndyRep
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 10:57:41 AM »

Well, if Kelly does as well or worse than Greenfield, Western Democrat is ready to accept his accolades -- he really tried to tell you what was going on, guys. He really did.
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xavier110
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 11:11:58 AM »

Kelly does worse than Sinema, makes total sense
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 12:31:18 PM »

At least CO-Sen is a lock.



Looks like Hickenlooper may just do the impossible
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GALeftist
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 01:11:00 PM »

I swear, there could be a poll from Pizza Planet Research Group for a Christian America (R) and this board would still have a panic attack over it.
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Election_Ox
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 02:00:02 PM »

New Poll: Arizona Senator (Special) by DataOrbital on 2020-10-30

Summary: D: 47%, R: 46%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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MRS DONNA SHALALA
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2020, 02:04:24 PM »

I swear, there could be a poll from Pizza Planet Research Group for a Christian America (R) and this board would still have a panic attack over it.

Respondents were sampled by going table-to-table at Comet Ping-Pong
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2020, 05:18:16 PM »

Will you people f#cking relax? RCP has McSally behind by 6.2 rn. They had her up by 1.0 last time, and she still lost.



ps. the green party candidate dropped out last time and endorsed Sinema, but it was too late to get her off the ballot. Without that, Sinema would have won by like 4.

guess how the ballot looks this time?



Kelly will win by 5ish.
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