ME-Emerson: Biden +11

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://twitter.com/EmersonPolling/status/1323010581037752320

https://twitter.com/EmersonPolling/status/1323012281307963395

[GeorgiaModerate]

54-43=11

[Crumpets]

ME-2 is likely Biden. Change my mind.

[GeorgiaModerate]

ME-2 is likely Biden. Change my mind.

I'd say Lean, but the recent polling sure does look like he's taken the lead there.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

54-43=11

whoops lol, this is why I ask you to do the scoring for the football pick ems

[Alben Barkley]

ME-2 is likely Biden. Change my mind.

I'd say Lean, but the recent polling sure does look like he's taken the lead there.

If Golden is winning by anywhere near as much as the polls say, I just doubt there will be enough ticket-splitters to save Trump. And if Maine as a whole is a double digit win for Biden as it looks like it will be, doubt ME-02 is going to be THAT far to the right of the rest of the state. I also think being tied to Trump will sink Collins for similar reasons.

[ultraviolet]

I like how the title says Meemerson

[South Dakota Democrat]

ME-2 is likely Biden. Change my mind.

I'd say Lean, but the recent polling sure does look like he's taken the lead there.

A consistent but quite narrow margin is the definition of lean.

[forsythvoter]

Just curious: how does the ranked choice voting work? If Biden leads 49-47% in CD-2 but 54-45 in the entire state, will they just do ranked choice voting in CD-2?

[Alben Barkley]

Just curious: how does the ranked choice voting work? If Biden leads 49-47% in CD-2 but 54-45 in the entire state, will they just do ranked choice voting in CD-2?

I believe so.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Statewide
As with PA, there seems to be an extra leaner where there shouldn't be.
With leaners: Biden +11

Biden 54%
Trump 43%
Someone else 2%

Unfortunately, no results with leaners are available for ME-01 and ME-02.

ME-01: Biden +19
310 likely voters

Biden 58%
Trump 39%
Someone else 3%
Undecided 1%

ME-02: Biden +3
301 likely voters

Biden 50%
Trump 47%
Someone else 3%
Undecided 0% (but some voters)

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Just curious: how does the ranked choice voting work? If Biden leads 49-47% in CD-2 but 54-45 in the entire state, will they just do ranked choice voting in CD-2?

Yes.

[Podgy the Bear]

Collins is not going to get enough ticket splitting out a Biden +11 to pull this out.  It will be up to NC and Cunningham to get to the 50-50.

[NOVA Green]

Is a Memerson Poll, but as I have posted multiple times on various threads and in various styles and different times and places, including multiple comments regarding ME-02:

Catholic Joe gonna bring home the White Ethnic European (Non-WASP) in 2020.

Voters of French-Canadian / French / Irish Ancestry gonna come back in the Factory Towns of ME-02 in 2020.

Trump is no LePage, plus voters up North tired of the failed promises that Trump will bring back Pulp Mill and fishing jobs after his failed attempt at a trade war with Canada (!).

[Progressive Pessimist]

Collins is not going to get enough ticket splitting out a Biden +11 to pull this out.  It will be up to NC and Cunningham to get to the 50-50.

Thankfully it appears that Tillis' support has stagnated, similar to both James and Trump. I think we'll get a 50-50 Senate at worst.