Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +10 in MI, +6/+7 in PA, +8/+10 in WI
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 31, 2023, 05:05:00 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +10 in MI, +6/+7 in PA, +8/+10 in WI		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +10 in MI, +6/+7 in PA, +8/+10 in WI  (Read 3910 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,768
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 01, 2020, 03:01:34 PM »
« edited: November 01, 2020, 03:15:09 PM by VARepublican »
Oct 27-Nov 1

MI
Biden 52%
Trump 42%

PA - 673 LV, MoE: 4.3%
Biden 51%
Trump 44%

With leaners:
Biden 52%
Trump 46%

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-11/topline_reuters_pennsylvania_state_poll_w6_11_01_2020_.pdf

WI - 696 LV, MoE: 4.2%
Biden 53%
Trump 43%
Other 2%
Not sure 2%

With leaners:
Biden 53%
Trump 45%

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-11/topline_reuters_wisconsin_state_poll_w6_11_1_2020_.pdf
Logged
Rep Jessica
Jessica
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2020, 03:07:07 PM »
Jesus Sad
Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2020, 03:07:47 PM »
Biden +10 in Michigan and +7 in PA too.

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-usa-election-battleground-poll-idUKKBN27H1PK?taid=5f9f14ee1dea630001ee72a4&utm_campaign=trueAnthem:+Trending+Content&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_source=twitter

If Trump wins Wisconsin, it will be the biggest polling miss I've ever witnessed.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,891


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2020, 03:08:24 PM »
Wisconsin and Michigan are gone for Trump (probably NE-02 as well, but we have a lot less polling there).  His only hope is to run the table elsewhere.
Logged
Malarkey Decider
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 253
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2020, 03:08:28 PM »

Jesus Smiley
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,386
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2020, 03:15:16 PM »

Turn from Trump and to him
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,558
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2020, 03:17:17 PM »
PA looks about even with the national vote.
Logged
Darthpi is pleasantly surprised
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,701
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2020, 03:17:27 PM »
Looking pretty good overall
Logged
compucomp
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,558


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2020, 03:23:41 PM »
Quote from: SirWoodbury on August 29, 2020, 11:21:06 AM
OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,012


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2020, 03:23:45 PM »
Doesn’t make any sense post-Selzer. Junk it.
Logged
Storr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,486
Moldova, Republic of


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2020, 03:24:38 PM »
Little did we know that the wall Trump was talking about in 2016 was the Blue Firewall.
Logged
ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,914
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.45, S: -3.91

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2020, 03:26:17 PM »
Quote from: Storr on November 01, 2020, 03:24:38 PM
Little did we know that the wall Trump was talking about in 2016 was the Blue Firewall.

Trump rebuilt the blue wall for us. Thanks Trump!
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,212


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2020, 03:27:24 PM »
"Leaners" in this case excludes would not vote as an option and pushes third party voters to pick one of Biden or Trump again, so it's not just pushing undecided voters.

Quote from: VARepublican on November 01, 2020, 03:01:34 PM
Oct 27-Nov 1

MI - 654 LV, MoE: 4.4%
Changes with Oct 20-26
 
Biden 52% (n/c)
Trump 42% (-1)
Some other candidate 3% (n/c)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)
Not sure 3% (n/c)

Follow-up question:
Biden 53%
Trump 45%
Some other candidate 2%

Five-way ballot:
Biden 53% (n/c)
Trump 43% (n/c)
Some other candidate 2% (n/c)
Jorgensen 1% (n/c)
Hawkins 0% (n/c)
West 0% (n/c)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-11/topline_reuters_michigan_state_poll_w6_11_01_2020_0.pdf

PA - 673 LV, MoE: 4.3%
Changes with Oct 20-26

Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 44% (-1)
Some other candidate 3% (n/c)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)
Not sure 2% (n/c)

Follow-up question:
Biden 52%
Trump 46%
Some other candidate 2%

Five-way ballot:
Biden 51% (n/c)
Trump 45% (+1)
Some other candidate 2% (+1)
Jorgensen 1% (-2)
Hawkins 1% (+1)
West 0% (n/c)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-11/topline_reuters_pennsylvania_state_poll_w6_11_01_2020_.pdf

WI - 696 LV, MoE: 4.2%
Changes with Oct 20-26

Biden 53% (n/c)
Trump 43% (-1)
Some other candidate 2% (n/c)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)
Not sure 2% (n/c)

Follow-up question:
Biden 53%
Trump 45%
Some other candidate 2%

Five-way ballot:
Biden 53% (n/c)
Trump 43% (-1)
Jorgensen 2% (N/c)
Some other candidate 2% (+1)
Hawkins 0% (-1)
West 0% (n/c)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-11/topline_reuters_wisconsin_state_poll_w6_11_1_2020_.pdf
Logged
CookieDamage
cookiedamage
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,860


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2020, 03:36:40 PM »
But selzer Sad
Logged
Reapsow
Rafe
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,850
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2020, 03:43:01 PM »
B L U E
W A L L
B I D E N
Logged
Illiniwek
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,408
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2020, 03:46:49 PM »

bUt iOWa!
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,558
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2020, 03:59:07 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 01, 2020, 03:23:45 PM
Doesn’t make any sense post-Selzer. Junk it.

Yep, absolutely lets junk these and bow down and worship the poll that had Trump winning a congressional district 41-40 with 20% undecideds going into election week. Nothing has ever come of putting stock into polls with high undecideds, nothing ever.
Logged
BlueSwan
blueswan
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,767
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 01, 2020, 04:13:20 PM »
Heading for bed. Very nice poll to finish off the day! :-D
Logged
Wiz in Wis
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,710


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 01, 2020, 04:29:41 PM »
Guessing we get the sunbelt trio tomorrow?
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 01, 2020, 04:30:59 PM »
So overall Nationally looking like Biden leading by somewhere in the 8-10% range and WI and MI are running pretty close to Ntl numbers.

PA still remaining a bit stubborn, but should end up at least Mid Single Digit Biden at Minimum.
Logged
kph14
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 444
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 01, 2020, 04:40:57 PM »
Build the blue wall! Build the blue wall!
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,706
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 01, 2020, 04:41:58 PM »
Constantly over 50%, which is encouraging. Let's get this done, Uncle Joe! Let's send the crook packing!
Logged
ExSky
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 529


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 01, 2020, 05:18:27 PM »
About what you’d expect in a final poll. That’s the election right there. Dems are gonna be fighting for gravy in Florida/Texas/Ohio/NC/Georgia/Iowa/AZ while the GOP will be fighting to not get trashcanned
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,437


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 01, 2020, 06:45:34 PM »
The leaners is questionable, all of them go to Trump and 0 to Biden?
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,131
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 01, 2020, 06:48:47 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 01, 2020, 03:23:45 PM
Doesn’t make any sense post-Selzer. Junk it.

Yes, that one poll negates everything. It's not like states, even neighboring ones with some cultural overlap, are unique, individual entities who still have their differences.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.061 seconds with 12 queries.