TX - Gravis: Trump +5%
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Author Topic: TX - Gravis: Trump +5%  (Read 1504 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 01, 2020, 01:38:33 PM »
« edited: November 01, 2020, 02:38:09 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »
https://gravismarketing.com/texas-poll/

Oct 27-28
670 likely voters
MoE: 3.8%
Changes with July 7 poll for OANN (Edit: the last one was for OANN and this one is not)

Trump 50% (+4)
Biden 45% (+1)
Uncertain 5%
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swf541
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2020, 01:39:02 PM »
> Gravis
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2020, 01:42:41 PM »
Duly noted.
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Woody
SirWoodbury
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2020, 01:43:45 PM »
Good.
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republican1993
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2020, 01:44:14 PM »
sounds about right
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Da2017
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2020, 01:51:47 PM »
Texas is going to be decided between less than 5 in either direction.
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2020, 01:54:03 PM »
Quote from: Da2017 on November 01, 2020, 01:51:47 PM
Texas is going to be decided between less than 5 in either direction.

The next Nate Silver??
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2020, 01:56:32 PM »

I stopped reading right there.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2020, 01:56:58 PM »
This one isn't for OANN. Their last one was.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2020, 01:57:45 PM »
I normally don't like picking apart crosstabs, but these ones are hilarious.

They have Biden at 37% among white voters, Trump only winning white voters 61-37. If that were to happen in reality, Biden would easily win.

They have Biden up only 49-45 among Hispanics, 78-13 among African Americans, and Trump leading 54-32 among "other."

Yeah, we should not take crosstabs too seriously and implausible crosstabs are to be expected even in otherwise good polls, but these ones are just too funny not to post and laugh at.
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Hammy
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2020, 02:00:11 PM »
Ask Ted Cruz about his nine point win they predicted in 2018.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2020, 02:00:29 PM »
Wait a minute this poll has Trump getting 45% of Hispanics?

Yeah that's not happening.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2020, 02:17:35 PM »
Gravis
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2020, 02:37:14 PM »
Welp, it is Gravis and for OANN. Probably a tossup.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2020, 02:37:49 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 01, 2020, 02:37:14 PM
Welp, it is Gravis and for OANN. Probably a tossup.
This one isn't for OANN. Only the last one was. Sorry - I'll edit the post to make it clearer
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2020, 02:38:35 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on November 01, 2020, 02:37:49 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 01, 2020, 02:37:14 PM
Welp, it is Gravis and for OANN. Probably a tossup.
This one isn't for OANN. Only the last one was. Sorry - I'll edit the post to make it clearer

Oh thanks for clarifying
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2020, 06:43:53 PM »
New Poll: Texas President by Gravis Marketing on 2020-10-28

Summary: D: 45%, R: 50%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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