IA HD-67, MI HD-38, MI HD-61, TX HD-97, TX HD-108, TX HD-138 - PPP/DLCC (D) - Democrats lead

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://www.dlcc.org/sites/default/files/DLCC%20Polling%20Memo%20Oct%2020.pdf

IA HD-67
Sep 23-25
300 voters
MoE: 5.7%

In 2018, Republicans won this district 52.0-48.0. Biden 57-Trump 40

Greenfield 53
Ernst 42
Not sure 3

MI HD-38
Sep 23-24
463 voters
MoE: 4.6%

In 2018, Republicans won this district 49.44-48.14. Biden 52-Trump 44

Peters 50
James 44
Not sure 4

MI HD-61
Sep 23-24
532 voters
MoE: 4.3%

In 2018, Republicans won this district 51.37-48.63. Biden 52-Trump 43

Peters 49
James 43
Not sure 8

TX HD-97
Sep 23-24
528 voters
MoE: 4.3%

In 2018, Republicans won this district 53.19-44.86. Biden 50-Trump 47

Hegar 46
Cornyn 45
Not sure 9

TX HD-108
Sep 23-24
458 voters
MoE: 4.6%

In 2018, Republicans won this district 50.14-49.86. Biden 56-Trump 39

Hegar 54
Cornyn 41
Not sure 5

TX HD-138
Sep 23-24
483 voters
MoE: 4.5%

In 2018, Republicans won this district 50.03-49.93. Biden 54-Trump 41

Hegar 49
Cornyn 41
Not sure 10

[VAR]

B-b-but Ernst embraced a coronavirus conspiracy theory tied to QAnon! She’s supposed to be underperforming Trump by >10 points!

[MT Treasurer]

IA HD-67 is part of the Cedar Rapids area (mostly suburban), right? Also, by ‘Republicans’ you mean Reynolds and Cruz, I guess?

[KaiserDave]

B-b-but Ernst embraced a coronavirus conspiracy theory tied to QAnon! She’s supposed to be underperforming Trump by >10 points!

Okay but this is bad for Ernst

[S019]

These are almost a month old


but generic ballot results

D+8 in IA HD 67, D+3 in MI HD 38, D+5 in MI HD 61, D+7 in PA HD 168, tie in TX HD 97, D+10 in TX HD 108, D+6 in TX HD 138

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

This signals to me that if Biden can win Texas by 2 or so, Hegar has a very good shot of winning.