NC - Trafalgar: Trump +2%
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  NC - Trafalgar: Trump +2%		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NC - Trafalgar: Trump +2%  (Read 1751 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 01, 2020, 12:33:17 PM »


Oct 27-29
Changes with Oct 20-22

Trump 49% (n/c)
Biden 47% (+1)
Jorgensen 3% (n/c)
Other 1% (n/c from "someone else" + "hawkins" + "blankenship" at 1%)
undecided 1% (-1)
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2020, 12:34:52 PM »
Every single Trafalgar poll, regardless of the state, is within 3 points.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2020, 12:35:36 PM »
Trashfaillolgarbage
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2020, 12:36:20 PM »
Quote from: Arch on November 01, 2020, 12:34:52 PM
Every single Trafalgar poll, regardless of the state, is within 3 points.

It's insane that it's been like 20 polls and that's always been the case.

I think the last time it wasn't was when they had Trump up 6 in Texas.
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Dr. Frankenstein
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2020, 12:38:24 PM »
Quote from: Arch on November 01, 2020, 12:34:52 PM
Every single Trafalgar poll, regardless of the state, is within 3 points.

At this point, I think they would have Trump +3 in TN as well.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2020, 12:41:35 PM »
Even if Trafalgar was a legitimate pollster, there is no way to do high quality polls when you churn out 3-4 of them every day.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2020, 12:48:02 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on November 01, 2020, 12:41:35 PM
Even if Trafalgar was a legitimate pollster, there is no way to do high quality polls when you churn out 3-4 of them every day.

There absolutely is. PPP has done >1500 this cycle - just most for private clients. Some of Trafalgar's public releases are for private clients and they haven't consistently been disclosing which.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2020, 12:54:39 PM »
1082 likely voters
MoE: 2.9%
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2020, 01:30:33 PM »
Yeah Trafalgar we know Trump is favored, Speaker Kevin Mccarthy likes to say hi on Wednesday
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Person Man
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2020, 01:33:51 PM »
At first he looked a little bit like Jim Carrey playing Dr.Robotnik.
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Torrain
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2020, 01:37:37 PM »
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on November 01, 2020, 01:30:33 PM
Yeah Trafalgar we know Trump is favored, Speaker Kevin Mccarthy likes to say hi on Wednesday

You think the GOP will win the House of Representatives?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2020, 01:38:53 PM »
Quote from: Torrain on November 01, 2020, 01:37:37 PM
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on November 01, 2020, 01:30:33 PM
Yeah Trafalgar we know Trump is favored, Speaker Kevin Mccarthy likes to say hi on Wednesday

You think the GOP will win the House of Representatives?

It's sarcasm. Rasmussen projected that Republicans would win the GCB in 2018 and Trafalgar is at least as bad as them.
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2020, 01:40:05 PM »
Quote from: RoboWop on October 30, 2020, 08:39:27 PM
I predict the next Trafalgar poll, wherever it is, will be within 3 points.
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Torrain
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2020, 01:46:00 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on November 01, 2020, 01:38:53 PM
Quote from: Torrain on November 01, 2020, 01:37:37 PM
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on November 01, 2020, 01:30:33 PM
Yeah Trafalgar we know Trump is favored, Speaker Kevin Mccarthy likes to say hi on Wednesday

You think the GOP will win the House of Representatives?

It's sarcasm. Rasmussen projected that Republicans would win the GCB in 2018 and Trafalgar is at least as bad as them.

I mean, that makes sense. I'm just not good at reading OC.
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538Electoral
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2020, 01:56:45 PM »
This story seems all too familiar...
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Hammy
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2020, 02:04:33 PM »

Trafalgar's polls have been utter garbage in the Sun Belt.

They didn't poll NC in 2016 and there was no election in 2018, but the closest state demographically that they polled was Georgia, and in a high turnout election (which this one is even higher) they were  ten points to the right of the result.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2020, 06:45:51 PM »
New Poll: North Carolina President by Emerson College on 2020-10-29

Summary: D: 47%, R: 49%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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