MI - Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS: Peters +5 (user search)
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  MI - Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS: Peters +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI - Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS: Peters +5  (Read 703 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776


« on: November 01, 2020, 12:04:21 PM »
« edited: November 01, 2020, 12:08:00 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Mitchell_Poll_MI_November_1_2020.pdf

Oct 29
817 likely voters
MoE: 3.43%
Changes with Oct 25-27

Biden 52-Trump 45

Peters 50% (-2)
James 45% (+2)
Other 3% (not previously included)
Not sure 2% (-1)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776


« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2020, 12:21:52 PM »

James might just pull off the upset here. Surging in the most recent polls.

That's not what the high quality polls show him doing, with the exception of EPIC-MRA (which has James gaining 3 and Peters gaining 2).

If we were a few months earlier in the race, he'd absolutely have a shot, but it's just a bit too late now for him to have a >=5% chance.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776


« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2020, 12:25:37 PM »

James might just pull off the upset here. Surging in the most recent polls.

This is an R poling firm. And EPIC-MIRA does not have a good track record.

I wouldn't expect a Harris supporter to appreciate EPIC MRA Bernie Porn!

In all seriousness, their methodology isn't bad and they are probably the best outfit only operating in/around MI.
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