IA - Insider Advantage/Center For American Greatness (R): Ernst +6

[MT Treasurer]

This was Greenfield +5 a few weeks ago, so *not the best* trend for Greenfield. In any case, this is clearly a race where people are basing their prediction on their personal feelings about the incumbent/preconceived notions about the state, so I don’t think any polls are actually going to change a single person's minds/prediction here. The IA thread will be pretty ugly on November 4.