MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,283
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« on: November 01, 2020, 01:39:29 AM » |
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I do think 2020 could end up being a very transformative/realigning election for FL and TX, much like (ironically) 1992. I don’t buy that FL is a ‘titanium tilt R’ state, but if (big if) Biden loses FL this year in a D+7-9 national victory while coming within a point or so of winning TX or even flipping the state, I could see FL and TX trading places, with much more attention being paid to TX than FL by both parties in future elections.
I don’t expect FL to ever become as reliably Republican as TX in the 2000s or anything (at least not at the presidential level), but at the very least it could cement its position as the most populous Republican-leaning state with this election, not unlike TX after 1992.
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