IA-Selzer: Trump +7
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  IA-Selzer: Trump +7
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer: Trump +7  (Read 34811 times)
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: October 31, 2020, 06:33:58 PM »

This is literally the same margin as 2016. Calling it right now: Trump +10, Ernst +7.
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S019
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« Reply #26 on: October 31, 2020, 06:34:02 PM »

I can buy this and still buy a Biden landslide nationally, it would just mean 2016 in Iowa wasn't a fluke and rural voters are seriously going to become problems for Democrats.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #27 on: October 31, 2020, 06:34:19 PM »

This poll has Trump up 1 from September but Biden down 6?

That strikes me as bizarre.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #28 on: October 31, 2020, 06:34:33 PM »

Oof. Biden doesn't need it though.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #29 on: October 31, 2020, 06:34:38 PM »

I just don't understand, every other Iowa poll has Biden at 46-47 or higher.
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swf541
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« Reply #30 on: October 31, 2020, 06:34:41 PM »

This poll has Trump up 1 from September but Biden down 6?

That strikes me as bizarre.

Because its a trash poll
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #31 on: October 31, 2020, 06:34:43 PM »

Damn, the doomers might be onto something. This might not be good for Wisconsin or Minnesota or Iowa just becomes into a sold red state going forward. the next three days are going to suck
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7,052,770
Harry
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« Reply #32 on: October 31, 2020, 06:34:47 PM »

Even if this is true and not an outlier, a +3 swing from 2016 is a clear Biden win.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #33 on: October 31, 2020, 06:34:56 PM »

And here comes the panic attack
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #34 on: October 31, 2020, 06:35:12 PM »

Polls in states Biden needs: *show Biden ahead*
Atlas: I sleep
Poll in a state Biden doesn't need: *shows Trump ahead*
Atlas: real sh**t?
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #35 on: October 31, 2020, 06:35:19 PM »

I take it this page is gonna reach 6 pages by Midnight EST?


I felt Ohio was likelier to flip than Iowa anyway so I don't get the hysteria.
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swf541
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« Reply #36 on: October 31, 2020, 06:35:32 PM »

Polls in states Biden needs: *show Biden ahead*
Atlas: I sleep
Poll in a state Biden doesn't need: *shows Trump ahead*
Atlas: real sh**t?

Lmfao yes, this is peak atlas
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #37 on: October 31, 2020, 06:35:44 PM »

Well, this forum is going to be insufferable as hell for the final three days.
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swf541
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« Reply #38 on: October 31, 2020, 06:35:55 PM »

Well, this forum is going to be insufferable as hell for the final three days.

It already wasnt?
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #39 on: October 31, 2020, 06:35:58 PM »

Why are posters on here losing their sanity over this one poll? This is a habit of Atlas' which I've never understood.
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It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
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« Reply #40 on: October 31, 2020, 06:36:01 PM »

I see we have gone into full meltdown mode.
Over one poll.
In a small state that won’t decide the election.
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bandg
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« Reply #41 on: October 31, 2020, 06:36:13 PM »

And the trend of 2020 polls almost exactly matching their 2016 counterparts continues apace...
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #42 on: October 31, 2020, 06:36:47 PM »

Why are posters on here losing their sanity over this one poll? This is a habit of Atlas' which I've never understood.

Because this “one poll” is iconic for predicting the massive Trump surge in the Midwest in 2016.
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Zache
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« Reply #43 on: October 31, 2020, 06:36:53 PM »

Yikes.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
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« Reply #44 on: October 31, 2020, 06:37:01 PM »

Trends are ________.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #45 on: October 31, 2020, 06:37:05 PM »

I'm seriously convinced that this is an outlier now. Trump hasn't been up that much in any poll since March and at minimum Biden has been hitting 46% in recent polling. Selzer is in for a miss this year.
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Ljube
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« Reply #46 on: October 31, 2020, 06:37:09 PM »

Why are posters on here losing their sanity over this one poll? This is a habit of Atlas' which I've never understood.

Because this “one poll” is iconic for predicting the massive Trump surge in the Midwest in 2016.
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Splash
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« Reply #47 on: October 31, 2020, 06:37:17 PM »

Now watch some of the self-anointed election experts extrapolate this one poll to make the argument that Trump is going to win the election.

Oh wait - it's already happening. Never change, Atlas
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #48 on: October 31, 2020, 06:37:32 PM »

And the trend of 2020 polls almost exactly matching their 2016 counterparts continues apace...

This is outright false
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swf541
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« Reply #49 on: October 31, 2020, 06:37:35 PM »

Why are posters on here losing their sanity over this one poll? This is a habit of Atlas' which I've never understood.

Because this “one poll” is iconic for predicting the massive Trump surge in the Midwest in 2016.

It's also iconic poll for being a massive f--k up in the 2020 primaries

I TOTALLY BELIEVE BIDEN DROPPED 6 POINTS SINCE THE LAST POLL /s
lmfao

This forum man
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