Are tossups for cowards? (user search)
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  Are tossups for cowards? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Are tossups for cowards?  (Read 12909 times)
Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,853
United States


« on: June 29, 2021, 10:43:21 AM »

Absolutely not. In some races, it's genuinely impossible to tell which party is favored and there's no reason to fake certainty that doesn't exist. Tilts are pointless. That's what lean is for.

Of course, projections are pretty dumb in the first place and there's 1. no real reason to feel acclaimed/insightful after the fact if you were right because that isn't how probability works, 2. no reason to be absurdly personally invested in the slight nuances of random posters' projections and 3. no inherent courage in having a degree of certainty about any given race.
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