PPP Polls: MN Biden +11, TX Biden +2
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  PPP Polls: MN Biden +11, TX Biden +2
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Author Topic: PPP Polls: MN Biden +11, TX Biden +2  (Read 7208 times)
Wiz in Wis
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« on: October 31, 2020, 10:10:43 AM »

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MplsDem
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2020, 10:15:47 AM »

It's a D+13 sample, but the 2016 recalled vote is Clinton +1. Hmm.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2020, 10:22:09 AM »

Trump being able only ahead within margin of error is good for D's in TX, not to his detriment

HEGAR will win, too
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2020, 10:32:54 AM »

It's a D+13 sample, but the 2016 recalled vote is Clinton +1. Hmm.

2016 was 8% third-party, and there were lots of self-identified Democrats in these places who voted for Trump.
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Buzz
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2020, 10:35:09 AM »

PPP Tuesday
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2020, 10:35:30 AM »

It's a D+13 sample, but the 2016 recalled vote is Clinton +1. Hmm.

Very good point. Tbf, in MN, there were many more Democrats who voted for Trump/didn't vote/voted 3rd party, but I doubt the electorate was D+13 in terms of registration. Also, do note the sample is just voters, not likely voters or registered voters
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Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2020, 10:40:28 AM »

Here's the link to the TX poll.  This is the big one!

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/TexasResultsOctober2020.pdf
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BobbieMac
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2020, 10:42:29 AM »

Texas survey was Trump +8 sample.
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charcuterie
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2020, 10:43:00 AM »

PPP is D-leaning, for sure, but it isn't a bad pollster in the realm of Gravis/Swayable/SurveyMonkey/Trafalgar. This makes me more confident about the Midwest and hopeful about Texas, but as they say, throw it in the average.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2020, 10:44:02 AM »

I actually can't believe TX will happen until I see it. But the signs are there. Polling and early turnout look better than anyone could hav expected a few weeks ago, let alone a year ago.
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ExSky
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2020, 10:45:54 AM »


Yea they just aren’t the elite quality of Trafalgar are they?
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DrScholl
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2020, 10:48:23 AM »

This won't age well.
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Roronoa D. Law
Patrick97
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« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2020, 10:49:36 AM »

Did he refrence 2016 yet?
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Buzz
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« Reply #13 on: October 31, 2020, 10:49:52 AM »


Yea they just aren’t the elite quality of Trafalgar are they?
they both are not good.
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ExSky
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« Reply #14 on: October 31, 2020, 10:55:39 AM »


Yea they just aren’t the elite quality of Trafalgar are they?
they both are not good.

You keep telling yourself that and clutching those traf polls real close to make yourself feel better alright bud?
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Harry
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« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2020, 10:57:56 AM »

It's a D+13 sample, but the 2016 recalled vote is Clinton +1. Hmm.

Makes sense. A lot of suburbans considering themselves Republican in 2016 and voted Trump, and now consider themselves Democrats.
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swf541
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« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2020, 10:58:12 AM »

It's a D+13 sample, but the 2016 recalled vote is Clinton +1. Hmm.

Makes sense. A lot of suburbans considering themselves Republican in 2016 and voted Trump, and now consider themselves Democrats.
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Buzz
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« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2020, 10:59:45 AM »


Yea they just aren’t the elite quality of Trafalgar are they?
they both are not good.

You keep telling yourself that and clutching those traf polls real close to make yourself feel better alright bud?
You’re a delusional hack. I’ve made my points very obvious over the last 4 months.  Think what you want, the receipts are out.
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Stuart98
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« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2020, 10:59:59 AM »

No stats on how people who've already voted vs will vote differ?
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2020, 11:07:52 AM »

Good stuff.  PPP knows how to poll Texas.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2020, 11:09:15 AM »

It's a D+13 sample, but the 2016 recalled vote is Clinton +1. Hmm.

Very good point. Tbf, in MN, there were many more Democrats who voted for Trump/didn't vote/voted 3rd party, but I doubt the electorate was D+13 in terms of registration. Also, do note the sample is just voters, not likely voters or registered voters

Partisan registration is not the same thing as partisan identification.
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mijan
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« Reply #21 on: October 31, 2020, 11:11:16 AM »

Good poll for Joe
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MplsDem
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« Reply #22 on: October 31, 2020, 11:16:33 AM »

It's a D+13 sample, but the 2016 recalled vote is Clinton +1. Hmm.


Very good point. Tbf, in MN, there were many more Democrats who voted for Trump/didn't vote/voted 3rd party, but I doubt the electorate was D+13 in terms of registration. Also, do note the sample is just voters, not likely voters or registered voters

Partisan registration is not the same thing as partisan identification.

We don't have party registration in MN. So party ID is all we have to go on here.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #23 on: October 31, 2020, 11:17:47 AM »

PPP hasn't done a lot of Texas polling that I could find, but they underestimated Beto by 2 or 3 points. So ignore this at your own peril.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #24 on: October 31, 2020, 11:18:27 AM »

MN
Oct 29-30
770 voters
Changes with Sep 2-4

Biden 54% (+2)
Trump 43% (-1)
Someone else 2% (-1)
Unsure 1% (n/c)

TX
Oct 28-29
775 voters
Changes with Oct 7-8 poll for the Texas Democrats

Biden 50% (+2)
Trump 48% (n/c)
Unsure 2% (+1)

Interesting to see them refusing to poll TXSEN. UT John Cornyn? Tongue
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