Big Data Poll Arizona Trump +2.7 (Questionable poll)
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  Big Data Poll Arizona Trump +2.7 (Questionable poll)
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Author Topic: Big Data Poll Arizona Trump +2.7 (Questionable poll)  (Read 584 times)
tenyasha
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« on: October 31, 2020, 09:03:05 PM »

Trump 48
Biden 45.3

Senate

Mark Kelly 46.2
Martha Mcsally 42.7

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1QRVDv35P6LM4AyC2CqHfP1ghsxVrN26c_j9yjM-juhE/edit#gid=945181278

Big Data poll is a very questionable source that 538 had banned because they supposedly fake their numbers.  I was always trying to figure out how they detected Big Data to be fake but couldnt find out how. I did notice something about them however that they seem to be mirroring the results of Rasmussen and Trafalgar. Both those polls had Trump up by 3 this week and so did this one as well Rasmussen had Mark Kelly up so did this one.... they all seem to follow this general predictable pattern.  Also the Big Data poll always is always close within about 3 and the undecided always seem to favor Trump. Does that seem a bit to predictable to the people here? 

Also does anyone know about tracking polls? Do they usually increase or decrease in number of people surveyed every week? Like for example can a tracking poll have 1000 people this week but 1100 the next and 950 the week after?
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2020, 09:03:38 PM »

All I know is that if 538 doesn't use them, then they must be really bad.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2020, 09:04:42 PM »

plz ban lol.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2020, 09:04:56 PM »

tenyasha, please stop posting your made-up poll. we do not care.
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tenyasha
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2020, 09:06:18 PM »

I was simply informing people the similarities that this poll has with Rasumssen and Trafalgar and wondered if they are mirroring each other because their results are extremely similar and almost predictable
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Pyro
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2020, 09:10:38 PM »

I love how late October to November always brings the random polling orgs out of the woodwork to give their 2 cents on the race. It happens every election, and it's always hilarious.
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tenyasha
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2020, 09:20:09 PM »
« Edited: October 31, 2020, 09:33:09 PM by tenyasha »

As you might also guess, this poll has Trump quite high with Latinos in Arizona and 15% with blacks there too. This is also something oddly consistent with his polling
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