MI - RMG Research/PoliticalIQ: Peters +9%
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  MI - RMG Research/PoliticalIQ: Peters +9%
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 31, 2020, 10:43:11 PM »

http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/31/michigan-senate-peters-d-50-james-r-41/

Oct 27-29
800 likely voters
MoE: 3.5%

Biden 51-44, 53-42, 50-45.

Standard model:
Peters 50%
James 41%
Other 3%
Unsure 6%

Strong Democratic turnout model:
Peters 52%
James 39%
Other 3%
Unsure 6%

Strong Republican turnout model:
Peters 48%
James 42%
Other 3%
Unsure 6%

At this point, safe D.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2020, 12:20:19 AM »

Peters appears to be pulling away in the final stretch, and is running much closer to Biden. It would be embarrassing for James if he lost by a wider margin than he did in 2018. It's clear that partisanship is rearing its head even more in these Senatorial races. Ticket-splitting seems to be virtually nonexistent almost everywhere.
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Yoda
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2020, 02:43:18 AM »

It will give me no small amount of pleasure on election night to watch the likely end of James' career in Michigan politics.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2020, 07:24:18 PM »

New Poll: Michigan Senator by RMG Research on 2020-10-29

Summary: D: 50%, R: 41%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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