WY - University of Wyoming: Trump +28
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  WY - University of Wyoming: Trump +28
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Author Topic: WY - University of Wyoming: Trump +28  (Read 2254 times)
forza nocta
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« on: October 30, 2020, 02:51:08 PM »

Trump 59%
Biden 31%

http://www.uwyo.edu/uw/news/2020/10/uw-survey-wyoming-voters-prefer-trump-to-biden.html
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VAR
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2020, 02:51:30 PM »

Finally a WY poll!
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Thunder98
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2020, 02:52:47 PM »

I'm interested in seeing what the margins will be like in Laramie, Teton and Albany Counties on Election Night.
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2020, 02:52:57 PM »

#TrendDWY #TrumpUnder60 #BidenOver30 #Realignment
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2020, 02:53:24 PM »

Color me surprised. Why are we getting so any safe state polls like Wyoming and New Jersey?
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2020, 02:54:06 PM »

Had Trump 58 Clinton 20!!!! Johnson 9 in Oct 2016 albeit slightly earlier in the month
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2020, 02:54:34 PM »

A Republican winning Wyoming by less than 30% is an absolute disaster.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2020, 02:56:57 PM »

Their final 2016 poll had Hillary only at 20%. So big improvement for Biden.

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Jay 🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2020, 02:57:11 PM »

Color me surprised. Why are we getting so any safe state polls like Wyoming and New Jersey?

Shockingly, state universities decided to poll their own states
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2020, 02:57:47 PM »

A Republican winning Wyoming by less than 30% is an absolute disaster.

True, but in states dominated by one party, undecideds tend to break heavily for that party.  If 59-31 is accurate right now, I'd expect the final result to be something like 65-32.
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Storr
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« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2020, 03:02:41 PM »

Color me surprised. Why are we getting so any safe state polls like Wyoming and New Jersey?
To be fair, if you're the University of Wyoming, you're kinda obligated to poll your own state.
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Ljube
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« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2020, 03:05:38 PM »

Trump won Wyoming by 47 points. This poll is a disaster.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2020, 03:08:22 PM »

Trump won Wyoming by 47 points. This poll is a disaster.




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Skye
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« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2020, 03:14:42 PM »

Quote
Jim King, professor of political science and the survey’s director, says the poll indicates that the 2020 presidential contest in Wyoming will not vary substantially from the 2016 election.

“Trump polled at 58 percent in our October 2016 survey and went on to carry the state comfortably on Election Day,” King says. “This year’s survey indicates a repeat by Trump in 2020.”

Though to be fair in 2016 Trump wasn't supposed to lose the National PV by 8-9 points.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2020, 03:21:38 PM »

Maybe my dream of Cheyenne flipping and voting DEM for the first time since 1964 (?) is not just idle fantasy?   Wink

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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: October 30, 2020, 03:24:23 PM »

Color me surprised. Why are we getting so any safe state polls like Wyoming and New Jersey?

Probably because the University of Wyoming and Rutgers University want to see how things look in their home states?
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #16 on: October 30, 2020, 03:31:20 PM »

If there really is child porn on Hunters PC, maybe WV will be competitive.
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redjohn
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« Reply #17 on: October 30, 2020, 03:39:17 PM »

If there really is child porn on Hunters PC, maybe WV will be competitive.

Ouch
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Rand
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« Reply #18 on: October 30, 2020, 04:14:49 PM »

PHEW.

I was worried.
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demoman1596
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« Reply #19 on: October 30, 2020, 06:41:59 PM »

A Republican winning Wyoming by less than 30% is an absolute disaster.

True, but in states dominated by one party, undecideds tend to break heavily for that party.  If 59-31 is accurate right now, I'd expect the final result to be something like 65-32.
And, if it is 65-32, it would be a 13-point swing relative to 2016 in essentially the most Republican state in the nation.  Just another one of the thousands of indicators that Trump is in deep, deep trouble.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #20 on: October 30, 2020, 06:51:03 PM »

Biden will definitely flip Albany County with these kinds of numbers, and I expect him to win Teton County with over 60% of the vote, like Obama did in 2008.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #21 on: October 30, 2020, 06:55:57 PM »

Oct. 8-28, 614 LV, MoE: 4%

Jorgensen 5%
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #22 on: October 30, 2020, 07:13:24 PM »

Biden will definitely flip Albany County with these kinds of numbers, and I expect him to win Teton County with over 60% of the vote, like Obama did in 2008.

I have to wonder about Laramie County. If anywhere in Wyoming is going to make a big political jump this year, it would be there.
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Spark
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« Reply #23 on: October 30, 2020, 07:13:44 PM »

I got Trump 66% Biden 30%.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #24 on: October 31, 2020, 10:01:02 AM »

Biden will definitely flip Albany County with these kinds of numbers, and I expect him to win Teton County with over 60% of the vote, like Obama did in 2008.

I have to wonder about Laramie County. If anywhere in Wyoming is going to make a big political jump this year, it would be there.

Trump will still win Laramie County, but it's possible that he falls under 60% there this time.
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