CNN: Biden with clear leads in AZ, WI, MI, NC

[Hammy]

This board needs cleansed from having Chris Cillizza posted directly into it.

Comparison with 2016:

North Carolina was D 48-47 and ended up being R 50-46--again polling over-estimated Dems support here. Similar error would result in 49-48, putting NC in tossup territory.

Arizona was R 49-44, so they overpolled Republicans slightly, though they were the only pollster to over-estimate Dems in 2018 (by a point) while getting the GOP amount right. Based on this, result could land between D 50-48 and D 52-46.

I don't see a CNN poll for Wisconsin or Michigan in 2016.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Funny how some poll that’s possibly an outlier gets 10 pages but quality polls with healthy Biden leads like this get ignored.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Funny how some poll that’s possibly an outler gets 10 pages but quality polls with healthy Biden leads like this get ignored.

It's crazy, isn't it?

[swf541]

Funny how some poll that’s possibly an outler gets 10 pages but quality polls with healthy Biden leads like this get ignored.

It's crazy, isn't it?

Yep

[GeorgiaModerate]

Funny how some poll that’s possibly an outlier gets 10 pages but quality polls with healthy Biden leads like this get ignored.

How long have you been here?

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Where is Sir Woodbury?

[LimoLiberal]

We were all so young and innocent when these polls were released.

[WD]

lol

[BigSerg]

Any senate numbers?

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/31/politics/cnn-polls-michigan-wisconsin-arizona-north-carolina/index.html

Kelly 52
McSally 45

Peters 52
James 40

Cunningham 47
Tillis 44

lol

[Calthrina950]

Networks are really still trying to push the horse race narrative. They said "AZ and NC are tight".... 4 and 6 pt leads are not "tight" in states like these.

I've watched some of CBS News in the past few days, and they went over the "battleground map", pegging Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Ohio, and North Carolina as tossup states, with Texas as Lean R and Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin as Lean D. While I'm sure that the networks have their own motivations for making their projections, I don't think it's wrong for people to still be mindful as we head into Election Day. Fortunately, from the record high turnout figures we are seeing, it looks like we're not going to suffer from the complacency problem.

CBS' map turned out to be almost exactly on target, and they, along with the other mainstream media outlets, were right to treat this election as being much closer than what was believed on here and elsewhere.

[Person Man]

Imagine if Trump was up by 1988 margins and instead either, 1) lost the EV by a margin that suggest a 3-4 point loss win when they really won it by 2 or 3, 2) simply won the election by 3-4 points with a map that you would expect at 3-4.