WY - University of Wyoming: Trump +28
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 23, 2023, 05:15:19 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  WY - University of Wyoming: Trump +28		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: WY - University of Wyoming: Trump +28  (Read 1822 times)
forza nocta
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 587


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 30, 2020, 02:51:08 PM »
Trump 59%
Biden 31%

http://www.uwyo.edu/uw/news/2020/10/uw-survey-wyoming-voters-prefer-trump-to-biden.html
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,768
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2020, 02:51:30 PM »
Finally a WY poll!
Logged
Thunder98
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,530
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2020, 02:52:47 PM »
I'm interested in seeing what the margins will be like in Laramie, Teton and Albany Counties on Election Night.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,928
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2020, 02:52:57 PM »
#TrendDWY #TrumpUnder60 #BidenOver30 #Realignment
Logged
Bojack Horseman
Wolverine22
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,327
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2020, 02:53:24 PM »
Color me surprised. Why are we getting so any safe state polls like Wyoming and New Jersey?
Logged
SaneDemocrat
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,154


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2020, 02:54:06 PM »
Had Trump 58 Clinton 20!!!! Johnson 9 in Oct 2016 albeit slightly earlier in the month
Logged
Darthpi is pleasantly surprised
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,666
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2020, 02:54:34 PM »
A Republican winning Wyoming by less than 30% is an absolute disaster.
Logged
forza nocta
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 587


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2020, 02:56:57 PM »
Their final 2016 poll had Hillary only at 20%. So big improvement for Biden.

Logged
Jayde
trippytropicana
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 344
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.81, S: 0.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2020, 02:57:11 PM »
Quote from: Wolverine22 on October 30, 2020, 02:53:24 PM
Color me surprised. Why are we getting so any safe state polls like Wyoming and New Jersey?

Shockingly, state universities decided to poll their own states
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,839


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2020, 02:57:47 PM »
Quote from: Anti-Florida Activist darthpi on October 30, 2020, 02:54:34 PM
A Republican winning Wyoming by less than 30% is an absolute disaster.

True, but in states dominated by one party, undecideds tend to break heavily for that party.  If 59-31 is accurate right now, I'd expect the final result to be something like 65-32.
Logged
Storr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,446
Moldova, Republic of


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2020, 03:02:41 PM »
Quote from: Wolverine22 on October 30, 2020, 02:53:24 PM
Color me surprised. Why are we getting so any safe state polls like Wyoming and New Jersey?
To be fair, if you're the University of Wyoming, you're kinda obligated to poll your own state.
Logged
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,863
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2020, 03:05:38 PM »
Trump won Wyoming by 47 points. This poll is a disaster.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,839


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2020, 03:08:22 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 30, 2020, 03:05:38 PM
Trump won Wyoming by 47 points. This poll is a disaster.
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,570
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2020, 03:14:42 PM »
Quote
Jim King, professor of political science and the survey’s director, says the poll indicates that the 2020 presidential contest in Wyoming will not vary substantially from the 2016 election.

“Trump polled at 58 percent in our October 2016 survey and went on to carry the state comfortably on Election Day,” King says. “This year’s survey indicates a repeat by Trump in 2020.”

Though to be fair in 2016 Trump wasn't supposed to lose the National PV by 8-9 points.
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,681
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2020, 03:21:38 PM »
Maybe my dream of Cheyenne flipping and voting DEM for the first time since 1964 (?) is not just idle fantasy?   Wink
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,714
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 30, 2020, 03:24:23 PM »
Quote from: Wolverine22 on October 30, 2020, 02:53:24 PM
Color me surprised. Why are we getting so any safe state polls like Wyoming and New Jersey?

Probably because the University of Wyoming and Rutgers University want to see how things look in their home states?
Logged
BlueSwan
blueswan
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,758
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 30, 2020, 03:31:20 PM »
If there really is child porn on Hunters PC, maybe WV will be competitive.
Logged
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,609


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -6.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 30, 2020, 03:39:17 PM »
Quote from: BlueSwan on October 30, 2020, 03:31:20 PM
If there really is child porn on Hunters PC, maybe WV will be competitive.

Ouch
Logged
Reapsow
Rafe
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,849
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 30, 2020, 04:14:49 PM »
PHEW.

I was worried.
Logged
demoman1596
Rookie
**
Posts: 31
Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -7.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 30, 2020, 06:41:59 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 30, 2020, 02:57:47 PM
Quote from: Anti-Florida Activist darthpi on October 30, 2020, 02:54:34 PM
A Republican winning Wyoming by less than 30% is an absolute disaster.

True, but in states dominated by one party, undecideds tend to break heavily for that party.  If 59-31 is accurate right now, I'd expect the final result to be something like 65-32.
And, if it is 65-32, it would be a 13-point swing relative to 2016 in essentially the most Republican state in the nation.  Just another one of the thousands of indicators that Trump is in deep, deep trouble.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,958
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 30, 2020, 06:51:03 PM »
Biden will definitely flip Albany County with these kinds of numbers, and I expect him to win Teton County with over 60% of the vote, like Obama did in 2008.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,198


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 30, 2020, 06:55:57 PM »
Oct. 8-28, 614 LV, MoE: 4%

Jorgensen 5%
Logged
Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,635


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 30, 2020, 07:13:24 PM »
Quote from: Calthrina950 on October 30, 2020, 06:51:03 PM
Biden will definitely flip Albany County with these kinds of numbers, and I expect him to win Teton County with over 60% of the vote, like Obama did in 2008.

I have to wonder about Laramie County. If anywhere in Wyoming is going to make a big political jump this year, it would be there.
Logged
Spark
Spark498
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,832
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 30, 2020, 07:13:44 PM »
I got Trump 66% Biden 30%.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,958
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 31, 2020, 10:01:02 AM »
Quote from: EastOfEden on October 30, 2020, 07:13:24 PM
Quote from: Calthrina950 on October 30, 2020, 06:51:03 PM
Biden will definitely flip Albany County with these kinds of numbers, and I expect him to win Teton County with over 60% of the vote, like Obama did in 2008.

I have to wonder about Laramie County. If anywhere in Wyoming is going to make a big political jump this year, it would be there.

Trump will still win Laramie County, but it's possible that he falls under 60% there this time.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.045 seconds with 14 queries.