PPP/Progress Michigan (D) - MI Supreme Court - McCormack (D), Welch (D) lead combined ballot (user search)
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  PPP/Progress Michigan (D) - MI Supreme Court - McCormack (D), Welch (D) lead combined ballot (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP/Progress Michigan (D) - MI Supreme Court - McCormack (D), Welch (D) lead combined ballot  (Read 633 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,776


« on: October 30, 2020, 02:28:02 PM »

https://progressmichigan.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/LE-Newsletter-Issue8.pdf

Oct 29-30, 745 voters, MoE: 3.6%, Changes with Sep 30 - Oct 1

Thinking again about the election for the Michigan Supreme Court in November, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate supported by the Democratic Party, a candidate supported by the Republican Party, a candidate supported by a third party or would it not make a difference?

Democratic 47% (+7)
Republican 41% (+3)
Third party 3% (-1)
Party affiliation would not make a difference 10% (-9)

The top two are elected. Each voter has two choices.

First choice:

Bridget Mary McCormack (D) 31% (+11)
Mary Kelly (R) 9% (+5)
Brock Swartzle (R) 8% (+4)
Elizabeth Welch (D) 8% (+2)
Katherine Mary Nepton (L) 3% (n/c)
Susan Hubbard (G) 2% (-1)
Kerry Lee Morgan (L) 2% (-1)
Not sure 38% (-20)

Second choice:

Welch (D) 21% (+10)
Kelly (R) 9% (+4)
Swartzle (R) 6% (+2)
McCormack (D) 8% (+5)
Nepton (L) 3% (+1)
Hubbard (G) 1% (-2)
Morgan (L) 1% (-2)
Not sure/don't have a second choice 51% (-20)

Combined estimate (sum to 200%):

McCormack (D) 39% (+16)
Welch (D) 29% (+12)

Kelly (R) 18% (+9)
Swartzle (R) 14% (+6)
Hubbard (G) 3% (-3)
Morgan (L) 3% (-3)
Nepton (L) 6% (+1)
Not sure/don't have a second choice 89% (-37)
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