NC-NBC/Marist: Cunningham +10
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  NC-NBC/Marist: Cunningham +10
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Author Topic: NC-NBC/Marist: Cunningham +10  (Read 2616 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 30, 2020, 12:04:29 PM »

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Pollster
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2020, 12:05:00 PM »

Tillis really is struggling to get past 43-44% in virtually all credible polls.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2020, 12:05:30 PM »

Lol Marist
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Pyro
PyroTheFox
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2020, 12:09:17 PM »

Insert inevitable 'historically sexy poll' comment here.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2020, 12:15:52 PM »

Fuller release: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/7279122-Xyz-NBCNews-Marist-Poll-NC-Annotated.html

1049 registered voters, MoE: 4.1%
800 likely voters, MoE: 4.7%

Changes among registered voters (with July 14-22)
Cunningham 53% (+3)
Tillis 43% (+2)
Other 2% (+1)
Undecided 2% (-7)

Also among likely voters:

Other 2%
Undecided 2%
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Sestak
jk2020
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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2020, 12:19:21 PM »

The overperformance is the important thing here. Biden is only at 52 and up 6 in this.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2020, 12:21:14 PM »

Joke poll
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2020, 12:24:54 PM »

Marist sucks but I can't see them being 10 points off so this makes me feel better
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2020, 12:47:42 PM »

Even less believable than Tillis +5.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2020, 12:50:31 PM »

Obviously, this poll is off, but I have a harder time seeing Marist being 10% off than some R internal being 5% off.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2020, 06:50:24 PM »

I sound like a broken record but: 43% for a Republican! It's a plague on them this year.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2020, 11:52:58 AM »

Yawn, Tillis is just unable to get past the mid 40s in almost any non-junk poll.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2020, 01:45:11 PM »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Marist College on 2020-10-28

Summary: D: 53%, R: 43%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2020, 02:50:53 AM »

That Tillis ceiling is absolutely impenetrable. Historically sexy!
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2020, 05:16:28 AM »

The overperformance is the important thing here. Biden is only at 52 and up 6 in this.

I starting to think that almost all of Cunningham's "over-performance" (even pre-scandal) stemmed more from Tillis underperforming than anything else.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2020, 12:41:32 AM »

High-quality pollster Marist.
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Ljube
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« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2020, 01:01:55 AM »

Marist, Quinnipiac - joke pollsters.
I ignore them.
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SenatorCouzens
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« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2020, 02:17:03 AM »

Yep when it's garbage in, garbage out, "even if you cut the margin in half it still looks good for the challenger" doesn't work.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #18 on: November 06, 2020, 11:41:24 AM »

But I was told they were good in 2018 because if you gave 100% on the undecideds to one side they were accurate ?
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #19 on: November 06, 2020, 11:55:08 AM »

Cooper ran away from Gov race but Cunningham underperformed. Dems were told by polls that since Cooper won Cunningham had it in the bag
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SenatorCouzens
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« Reply #20 on: November 06, 2020, 04:50:42 PM »

Cooper ran away from Gov race but Cunningham underperformed. Dems were told by polls that since Cooper won Cunningham had it in the bag

Right now Cooper is up 4.5 percentage points. A solid, respectable performance in a swing state such as North Carolina, but he underperformed nearly all expectations (especially as a scandal free incumbent).
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