NBC/Marist NC: Biden +6
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 10:03:07 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  NBC/Marist NC: Biden +6
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3
Author Topic: NBC/Marist NC: Biden +6  (Read 7195 times)
Wiz in Wis
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,711


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 30, 2020, 12:02:35 PM »

Logged
KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,587
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2020, 12:03:05 PM »

oooo boy six pages let's go

Edit: lmaaooo I thought this was a national poll

lolllllll
Logged
republican1993
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 388
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2020, 12:03:12 PM »



outlier
Logged
Wiz in Wis
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,711


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2020, 12:03:35 PM »

Hot Diggity:

Logged
libertpaulian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,610
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2020, 12:03:53 PM »

Marist is usually a good pollster, no?
Logged
MRS DONNA SHALALA
cuddlebuns
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 585
South Africa


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2020, 12:04:43 PM »

HISTORICALLY SEXY JOE
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2020, 12:04:54 PM »

Crack
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2020, 12:05:08 PM »

Hot Diggity:



Lol Marist
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2020, 12:08:02 PM »


Ask Sen. Donnelly and Sen. McCaskill.
Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,681
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2020, 12:08:13 PM »

That’s pretty extreme.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2020, 12:08:18 PM »


They tend to be a bit more favorable to Democrats because they don't weigh by education. They claim that their substitute of weighing by a mix of region/income works just as well (they said they've done bunch of testing on it), but there are doubts.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,771


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2020, 12:08:27 PM »
« Edited: October 30, 2020, 12:13:04 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

Changes among registered voters (with July 14-22):

Biden 51% (n/c)
Trump 46% (+2)
Other 2% (n/c)
Undecided 1% (-3)
Logged
ExSky
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 543


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2020, 12:08:38 PM »

Well hot damn
Logged
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2020, 12:09:19 PM »

Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2020, 12:09:42 PM »

I really can't think of too many plausible maps where Trump loses North Carolina and somehow wins the election, let alone if he somehow loses by this much.

My expectation here is still Biden +3 at the end, but I'd love to see it higher.
Logged
compucomp
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,572


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 30, 2020, 12:10:21 PM »

OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,573
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 30, 2020, 12:10:31 PM »

Marist is a bad pollster. These numbers are inflated lol
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 30, 2020, 12:10:34 PM »

Sen. Nelson would also like a seat at the table.
Logged
forza nocta
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 613


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 30, 2020, 12:11:13 PM »

The Cooper # seems too high, so I think this is an outlier. But still better for Biden that its an outlier in his direction.
Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,681
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 30, 2020, 12:12:05 PM »

It’s as believable as Trafalgar here.
Logged
Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,756


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 30, 2020, 12:12:30 PM »


Marist's final polls had McCaskill at 47% (she got 46%) and Donnelly at 45% (he got 45%).
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 30, 2020, 12:12:36 PM »

The fact that 538 had Marist as a A+ pollster after there misses in 2018 is LOL
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 30, 2020, 12:13:27 PM »



The college education rate in North Carolina is 38.1, so 40% is not off by at all.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,771


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 30, 2020, 12:14:09 PM »

Fuller release: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/7279122-Xyz-NBCNews-Marist-Poll-NC-Annotated.html

1049 registered voters, MoE: 4.1%
800 likely voters, MoE: 4.7%

Also among likely voters:

Other 2%
Undecided 1%
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 30, 2020, 12:14:21 PM »


Marist's final polls had McCaskill at 47% (she got 46%) and Donnelly at 45% (he got 45%).
No.  they had Mccaskill at 50 and Donnelly at 48.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.049 seconds with 13 queries.