KY - Bluegrass Community & Technical College: Trump +12%
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  KY - Bluegrass Community & Technical College: Trump +12%
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Author Topic: KY - Bluegrass Community & Technical College: Trump +12%  (Read 2020 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 29, 2020, 08:16:22 PM »

https://www.wtvq.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/1-All-Summary-Data-Complete-Responses.pdf

October 16-28
250 registered voters

Trump 52%
Biden 39%
Undecided 9%
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2020, 08:21:12 PM »
« Edited: October 29, 2020, 08:24:42 PM by BudgieForce »

It's really cool that a community college has enough funds to do a poll. I'd have had alot more fun in political science class at Bergen Community had we been able to do some state polling.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2020, 08:22:59 PM »

Most of the undecided is probably going to Trump, but I think he stays under 60 and Biden goes over 40. That would mean best result since 2008 at least.
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Roll Roons
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2020, 08:23:44 PM »

Is it time to call him Cocaine Joe?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2020, 08:36:00 PM »

New Poll: Kentucky President by Other Source on 2020-10-28

Summary: D: 39%, R: 52%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2020, 08:56:06 PM »

Oof, that is a pretty large swing against Trump. Lots of undecides so it'll be interesting to see how they break (prolly for Trump). Safe R.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2020, 08:57:54 PM »

The interesting thing about Kentucky will be to see how hard Jefferson and Fayette shift, as well as the Cincinnati suburbs.
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Rand
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« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2020, 08:59:54 PM »

Trump maaay want to tweet another photo of himself eating KFC with a fork.
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Buzz
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« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2020, 09:01:29 PM »

Trump maaay want to tweet another photo of himself eating KFC with a fork.
I知 gonna miss these post in a week if nothing else.  Quality as always RWYS!
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: October 29, 2020, 09:37:53 PM »

Trump maaay want to tweet another photo of himself eating KFC with a fork.
I知 gonna miss these post in a week if nothing else.  Quality as always RWYS!

Don't you worry, Buzz.  Regardless of what happens on Tuesday, we have over two more months of Trump Twitter Craziness!
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Buzz
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« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2020, 09:58:22 PM »

Trump maaay want to tweet another photo of himself eating KFC with a fork.
I知 gonna miss these post in a week if nothing else.  Quality as always RWYS!

Don't you worry, Buzz.  Regardless of what happens on Tuesday, we have over two more months of Trump Twitter Craziness!
Trumps twitter will probably get even more bizarre post presidency now that he can really fo no filter.
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n1240
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« Reply #11 on: October 29, 2020, 10:21:21 PM »

This seems to just be some unweighted survey, not sure why 538 added this. The party registration of the sample is very out of line of the actual statewide party registration composition (way too Dem) and it's also way too old.
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RBH
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« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2020, 12:17:29 AM »

Bluegrass Community & Technical College isn't to be confused with Bluegrass Data (which is based in NYC). Bluegrass Data had a poll with Biden at 45% in KY in July
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Pericles
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« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2020, 01:17:59 AM »

Even if you go by the 'give all the undecideds to the Republican in KY' rule, which is not a safe bet after Bevin's loss, Biden is still doing a full 6% better than Hillary 2016 in this poll. Looks like KY is actually trending D.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2020, 06:19:59 AM »

Uff da!
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TheTide
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« Reply #15 on: October 30, 2020, 09:13:44 AM »

Trump maaay want to tweet another photo of himself eating KFC with a fork.
I知 gonna miss these post in a week if nothing else.  Quality as always RWYS!

Don't you worry, Buzz.  Regardless of what happens on Tuesday, we have over two more months of Trump Twitter Craziness!
Trumps twitter will probably get even more bizarre post presidency now that he can really fo no filter.

Trump will be posting controversial tweets even when he's literally underground or a pile of dust.
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Storr
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« Reply #16 on: October 30, 2020, 02:54:52 PM »

Bluegrass Community & Technical College isn't to be confused with Bluegrass Data (which is based in NYC). Bluegrass Data had a poll with Biden at 45% in KY in July
Too much grass!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #17 on: October 30, 2020, 03:14:55 PM »

Thing about it, we haven't seen another LA Senate poll, that race can go to a runoff scenario, Cassidy was under 50 percent in that poll
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #18 on: October 30, 2020, 03:20:41 PM »

This seems to just be some unweighted survey, not sure why 538 added this. The party registration of the sample is very out of line of the actual statewide party registration composition (way too Dem) and it's also way too old.

Kentucky actually has one of the highest percentages of registered Democratic voters in the country. LOTS of DINOs and ancestral Dems. I知 not sure of the exact numbers nowadays, but they did specifically ask about what party you are REGISTERED as, not identify as, so it might not be as big a deal as you think.
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n1240
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« Reply #19 on: October 30, 2020, 03:39:08 PM »

This seems to just be some unweighted survey, not sure why 538 added this. The party registration of the sample is very out of line of the actual statewide party registration composition (way too Dem) and it's also way too old.

Kentucky actually has one of the highest percentages of registered Democratic voters in the country. LOTS of DINOs and ancestral Dems. I知 not sure of the exact numbers nowadays, but they did specifically ask about what party you are REGISTERED as, not identify as, so it might not be as big a deal as you think.

I know this and I specifically said party registration in my post. The party registration breakdown of registered voters is 47% Dem, 44% GOP, 9% other, which is way off from this poll which has 56% Dem, 37% GOP, 7% other. In 2016 among people who actually voted the breakdown was 51% Dem, 43% GOP, 6% other, while the overall voter registration partisan breakdown was 51% Dem, 40% GOP, 8% other (a good number ancestral Dems have changed their party registration since 2016). The current breakdown of people who have already voted in Kentucky this election is 51% Dem, 43% GOP, 6% other, and is bound to become more GOP with the remaining days of early in-person + election day voting. So overall I think it's reasonable to think that a 56/37/7 sample by party registration in Kentucky is far too Democratic skewed.
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