MI - Kiaer Research: Peters +13% (user search)
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  MI - Kiaer Research: Peters +13% (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI - Kiaer Research: Peters +13%  (Read 4180 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: October 30, 2020, 10:54:54 AM »

I doubt Peters wins by this much (and if he does, Republicans will be lucky to get 45 seats), but to predict James will win at this point is to just be delusional. There was a huge late surge for Republicans in 2016 in Michigan polls, and James gained quite a bit at the end of 2018 (though it obviously wasn't enough), but we're seeing the opposite this year. If James were to pull off an upset, we'd see him go from down 5-6% to down 1-3%, we wouldn't see him losing ground.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2020, 02:48:58 PM »

I doubt Peters wins by this much (and if he does, Republicans will be lucky to get 45 seats), but to predict James will win at this point is to just be delusional. There was a huge late surge for Republicans in 2016 in Michigan polls, and James gained quite a bit at the end of 2018 (though it obviously wasn't enough), but we're seeing the opposite this year. If James were to pull off an upset, we'd see him go from down 5-6% to down 1-3%, we wouldn't see him losing ground.
The polls are WRONG dude. Biden has no energy. Even NBC and Politico are saying it! His turnout in Miami Dade is Putrid. Trump is drawing 15-20k people at rallies all over the country. You dems are so delusional. It's not even funny. It's not a 6-8 pt nationally it's a 2 to 4 pt race nationally in the PV.

Whatever you say, dude.
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