MI - Kiaer Research: Peters +13%
TiltsAreUnderrated:
https://kiaerresearch.com/oct-2020-poll
Oct 21-28
669 likely voters
MoE: 5.6%
Changes with May 31 - Jun 7
Peters 51% (+3)
James 38% (+6)
Other/third party 2% (-1)
Undecided 9% (-8)
SN2903:
Total trash.
James will win this race by outperforming in Oakland County and with African American men.
James wins 49 47%
Trump wins MI 48.5 47.5%
TML:
Quote from: SN2903 on October 30, 2020, 10:31:02 AM
Total trash.
James will win this race by outperforming in Oakland County and with African American men.
James wins 49 47%
Trump wins MI 48.5 47.5%
Do you have a contingency plan for if/when your candidates lose?
Trumporbust:
James and Trump will win Michigan. The polls were way off last time and they are way off this time too.
Xing:
I doubt Peters wins by this much (and if he does, Republicans will be lucky to get 45 seats), but to predict James will win at this point is to just be delusional. There was a huge late surge for Republicans in 2016 in Michigan polls, and James gained quite a bit at the end of 2018 (though it obviously wasn't enough), but we're seeing the opposite this year. If James were to pull off an upset, we'd see him go from down 5-6% to down 1-3%, we wouldn't see him losing ground.
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