VCreek/AMG(/Kobach?): Marshall +4%
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  VCreek/AMG(/Kobach?): Marshall +4%
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Author Topic: VCreek/AMG(/Kobach?): Marshall +4%  (Read 512 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 29, 2020, 08:22:52 PM »

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201029_KS.pdf

October 25-27
1149 likely voters
MoE: 3.8%
Changes with September 29-30

I assume Kobach is at it again, but this is the pollster's disclaimer:
Quote
VCreek was not paid by any campaign or organization to conduct this poll. VCreek/AMG and JD Johannes have no political clients in KS at this time. VCreek/AMG has ongoing operations in support of GOP candidates in PA, OH, MI, WI, CO, MT, IA and OK. This public poll is possible because a confluence of events in which VCreek/AMG has the tools to conduct a poll in a competitive high-profile election and is not involved in any of the competing campaigns or outside organizations.

Marshall 47% (+5)
Bollier 43% (-2)
Buckley (L) 2% (n/c)
Undecided 8% (-3)
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2020, 08:49:58 PM »

The final margin is probably around this
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2020, 09:04:44 PM »

New Poll: Kansas Senator by Other Source on 2020-10-27

Summary: D: 43%, R: 47%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2020, 03:22:32 AM »

I expect Marshall to win, the state is too Republican for any Democrat to overcome in a federal race. But his behavior the last days is inexplicable. If you are ahead by mid-single digits then why are you asking your opponent for more debates?
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