IA-Quinnipiac: Ernst +2

[S019]

Not surprised, should have been an omen when Greenfield was struggling to break 50%, given how undecideds here broke in 2014, 2016, and 2018.

[S019]

Everyone is so desperate for this bad wig wearing neurotic idiot to win, but it's not going to happen. Ernst is losing on a Election Night and I suggest that you all just accept it before you end up very depressed on Election Night.

No Democrat wants her to win, we just don't expect any better from a state like Iowa, and I'd be more than happy to be wrong and be surprised, but I'm not setting myself up for disappointment.

Not surprised, should have been an omen when Greenfield was struggling to break 50%, given how undecideds here broke in 2014, 2016, and 2018.

I don't know what polls you are looking at, but for the most part Greenfield has performed better in polling overall than any Democrats did in the last few cycles.

Hubbell was also doing well in polls and Braley and Ernst were basically tied in 2014, I don't put much faith into IA polling to begin with, given what we've seen in the past.

[S019]

Everyone is so desperate for this bad wig wearing neurotic idiot to win, but it's not going to happen. Ernst is losing on a Election Night and I suggest that you all just accept it before you end up very depressed on Election Night.

No Democrat wants her to win, we just don't expect any better from a state like Iowa, and I'd be more than happy to be wrong and be surprised, but I'm not setting myself up for disappointment.

Not surprised, should have been an omen when Greenfield was struggling to break 50%, given how undecideds here broke in 2014, 2016, and 2018.

I don't know what polls you are looking at, but for the most part Greenfield has performed better in polling overall than any Democrats did in the last few cycles.

Hubbell was also doing well in polls and Braley and Ernst were basically tied in 2014, I don't put much faith into IA polling to begin with, given what we've seen in the past.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ia/iowa_senate_ernst_vs_braley-3990.html#polls

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/governor/ia/iowa_governor_reynolds_vs_hubbell-6477.html#polls

The averages from those years suggest different.

Undecideds broke almost entirely for both Reynolds and Ernst, I think that will happen again.

[S019]

Everyone is so desperate for this bad wig wearing neurotic idiot to win, but it's not going to happen. Ernst is losing on a Election Night and I suggest that you all just accept it before you end up very depressed on Election Night.

No Democrat wants her to win, we just don't expect any better from a state like Iowa, and I'd be more than happy to be wrong and be surprised, but I'm not setting myself up for disappointment.

Not surprised, should have been an omen when Greenfield was struggling to break 50%, given how undecideds here broke in 2014, 2016, and 2018.

I don't know what polls you are looking at, but for the most part Greenfield has performed better in polling overall than any Democrats did in the last few cycles.

Hubbell was also doing well in polls and Braley and Ernst were basically tied in 2014, I don't put much faith into IA polling to begin with, given what we've seen in the past.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ia/iowa_senate_ernst_vs_braley-3990.html#polls

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/governor/ia/iowa_governor_reynolds_vs_hubbell-6477.html#polls

The averages from those years suggest different.

Undecideds broke almost entirely for both Reynolds and Ernst, I think that will happen again.

You hope that will happen again. The differences now are that Ernst is an incumbent with an actual record and that governors races can be completely different than federal ones in a lot of places. By Republican logic undecideds break for the challenger, so you are violating your own rules.

Have you read anything I post, I'm not a Republican, this avatar is a meme to mock hacks like Woodbury who think CA-25 is a Tossup

[S019]

Yikes. Yeah this race is gone.

Literally Montana might decide the Senate. Aka it’s not happening

Georgia exists