IA-Quinnipiac: Ernst +2

[Xing]

I want to see what Selzer has to say, but I'm not feeling great about this race. Greenfield could still win, but I probably won't believe it unless Selzer has her up by 4-5%, though polls could be more accurate in IA this year.

[Xing]

Everyone is so desperate for this bad wig wearing neurotic idiot to win, but it's not going to happen. Ernst is losing on a Election Night and I suggest that you all just accept it before you end up very depressed on Election Night.

I would love to see Ernst lose, and I hope you're right, but given how much IA has burned us over the past few cycles, you have to understand why many of us aren't optimistic about this race.

[Xing]

I always admit it when I'm wrong about a race (I ate plenty of crow when Beshear won), and I'll admit I was wrong about this race if Greenfield wins (though I'm not saying she can't, I don't think anyone is.) I hope the same goes for people assuming that IA polling will be spot on and that Greenfield will win.