NC-NSJ/CPA (R): Tillis +5

[VAR]

North State Journal/Cardinal Point Analytics
Oct 27-28, 750 LV, MoE: 3.6%

Tillis (R-inc) 46%
Cunningham (D) 41%
Bray (L) 6%
Hayes (C) 2%
Undecided 6%

PRES: 48-46 Trump
GOV: 47-45 Cooper

https://nsjonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/NSJ-CPA-2020-10-29-POLL_Results.pdf

[BudgieForce]

Charles II of Spain levels of historically unsexiness

[Orwell]

Charles II of Spain levels of historically sexiness

Charles II was a very sexy man tho why u defame

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Changes with July 22-24 Cardinal Point Analytics poll:

North State Journal/Cardinal Point Analytics
Oct 27-28, 750 LV, MoE: 3.6%

Tillis (R-inc) 46% (+3)
Cunningham (D) 41% (-2)
Bray (L) 6% (+5)
Hayes (C) 2% (n/c)
Undecided 6% (-6)

PRES: 48-46 Trump
GOV: 47-45 Cooper

https://nsjonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/NSJ-CPA-2020-10-29-POLL_Results.pdf

[Ljube]

Tillis surging and Cunningham collapsing.
Expected turn of events.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tillis isn't winning while Cooper wins the Gov race

[Ljube]

Tillis isn't winning while Cooper wins the Gov race

Why not?

[libertpaulian]

Tillis isn't winning while Cooper wins the Gov race

Why not?

Cunningham is a much more moderate candidate than Ross.  Ross was campaigning like she was running in New Jersey.  Cunningham fits his state like a glove.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tillis isn't winning while Cooper wins the Gov race

Why not?

Because Forest and Tillis said don't wear masks and Tillis caught Covid, its an R poll

[MillennialModerate]

How reliable is this ?

[Xing]

Tillis isn't winning while Cooper wins the Gov race

Why not?

Cunningham is a much more moderate candidate than Ross.  Ross was campaigning like she was running in New Jersey.  Cunningham fits his state like a glove.

And Tillis doesn't campaign/represent this state as if it were Oklahoma? Like most swing state Republicans? It always bothers me that Democrats are the only ones held to a standard of "moderation."

[SN2903]

Lean R

Tillis wins by 3.5 %
Trump wins by 2.5 3%

[GALeftist]

How reliable is this ?

Not at all. It's an internal first of all, there is no way Cooper is only up by 2 or the Libertarian candidate for Senate is getting 6% with Tillis still up by 5. Its methodology is also pretty sketch, 70% was automated dialing and apparently has a really high error associated with the crosstabs (the sample was like almost 80% white). Not even 100% sure it's allowed on 538.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

How reliable is this ?

Not at all. It's an internal first of all, there is no way Cooper is only up by 2 or the Libertarian candidate for Senate is getting 6% with Tillis still up by 5. Its methodology is also pretty sketch, 70% was automated dialing and apparently has a really high error associated with the crosstabs (the sample was like almost 80% white). Not even 100% sure it's allowed on 538.

It's on there. They're being treated as legitimate (unlike Trafalgar), just very Republican-leaning and a bit trashy to boot.

[MillennialModerate]

How reliable is this ?

Not at all. It's an internal first of all, there is no way Cooper is only up by 2 or the Libertarian candidate for Senate is getting 6% with Tillis still up by 5. Its methodology is also pretty sketch, 70% was automated dialing and apparently has a really high error associated with the crosstabs (the sample was like almost 80% white). Not even 100% sure it's allowed on 538.

It's on there. They're being treated as legitimate (unlike Trafalgar), just very Republican-leaning and a bit trashy to boot.

Are you saying TRAFALGAR isn’t republican leaning!?!

I hope you’re not saying that cause there pills recently ... yikes

[Landslide Lyndon]

There have been plenty of good polls last week showing Cunningham in control. No need to freak out over an internal that shows an imminent (and highly unlikely) Republican sweep.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

How reliable is this ?

Not at all. It's an internal first of all, there is no way Cooper is only up by 2 or the Libertarian candidate for Senate is getting 6% with Tillis still up by 5. Its methodology is also pretty sketch, 70% was automated dialing and apparently has a really high error associated with the crosstabs (the sample was like almost 80% white). Not even 100% sure it's allowed on 538.

It's on there. They're being treated as legitimate (unlike Trafalgar), just very Republican-leaning and a bit trashy to boot.

Are you saying TRAFALGAR isn’t republican leaning!?!

I hope you’re not saying that cause there pills recently ... yikes

I'm saying Trafalgar are presumed to be faking their numbers by 538. They're not confident enough about that to give them an F this close to an election with partisan arguments flying all over the process, but they probable believe it to be the case or would be including their more recent polls.

[Figueira]

Are we really going to freak out over an R internal?

[MT Treasurer]

Yeah, probably too R-friendly across the board (especially for GOV/SEN), but I do think NC will be one of the two or three closest states at the presidential level, and I could see Tillis outperforming Trump by 1-2 points. Holding this won’t be easy, but I wouldn’t write him off like James, and I don’t think he’s in a much worse position than Perdue.