AZ - Rasmussen: Trump +4

[VAR]

Oct. 27-29, 800 LV, MoE: 3.5%

Trump 49%
Biden 45%

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/arizona_trump_48_biden_45

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

This pollster is begging to be downgraded to D- on 538

[wbrocks67]

Ah yes, totally makes sense for Trump to be doing *better* than 2016!

[Lief 🗽]

Really, really sick that they would even publish this. God-willing, President Biden will set up a truth and reconciliation commission after the election to make these people pay for what they are doing today.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Tucker Carlson's lost parcel bump.

[The Mikado]

This pollster is begging to be downgraded to D- on 538

As much as I'd rather see them banned, I'd be fine with Trafalgar and Rasmussen getting demoted to SurveyMonkey territory. It'd be even more embarrassing.

[Rand]

Rasmussen rasmessin' everything up.

[Alben Barkley]

This pollster is begging to be downgraded to D- on 538

Already banned by The Economist, it’s coming.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Trump 49% (+3)
Biden 45% (-3)
Some other candidate 3% (n/c)

Changes with October 18-19

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Out of probably the last 50 or so polls, this is probably the best one for Trump that there has been. And it is a Rasmussen poll showing a narrow Trump lead in a state he won by the same margin in 2016. That pretty much tells you the state of the race overall.

[wbrocks67]

Trump 49% (+3)
Biden 45% (-3)
Some other candidate 3% (n/c)

Changes with October 18-19

LMAO a 6 pt swing in a week

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Trump 49% (+3)
Biden 45% (-3)
Some other candidate 3% (n/c)

Changes with October 18-19

LMAO a 6 pt swing in a week

They pushed leaners in this one, but not the last.

[Alben Barkley]

Out of probably the last 50 or so polls, this is probably the best one for Trump that there has been. And it is a Rasmussen poll showing a narrow Trump lead in a state he won by the same margin in 2016. That pretty much tells you the state of the race overall.

A state he all but HAS to win, too.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sure Rassy, Leader McCarthy can take splice in your polls, he says he is gonna be Speaker and Hassert and Paul Ryan been on Meet the Press talking to all voters, while McCarthy only goes on Fox news

[Ljube]

So, is it Trump+4 or Biden+4?

[Person Man]

I predicted that this would happen. We will see at least one other Republican internal for each major race by Tuesday. Each will show the Republican ahead with the MoE.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I predicted that this would happen. We will see at least one other Republican internal for each major race by Tuesday. Each will show the Republican ahead with the MoE.

If Mark Kelly wins, Biden is winning AZ, and did you see the QU polls that show Biden ahead in 278 plus OH and FL

That TX poll showing Biden ahead by 10 was an outlier

[Woody]

Tilt R.

[Hammy]

They were R 48-43 in 2018, final result was D 50-47. Similar error would mean Biden somewhere around 52-48.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

They were R 48-43 in 2018, final result was D 50-47. Similar error would mean Biden somewhere around 52-48.

Biden by 3 or 4 is exactly what I'm expecting in Arizona. 538 polling average plus a point or two for the usual D overperformance in the state.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Tilt R.

Okay, we get it, you think Trump will win every swing state and then some.  We get it.

[Buzz]

Rasmussen is just as bad as Quinnipiac