ARG-NH: Biden +19 (!)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 05:26:04 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  ARG-NH: Biden +19 (!)		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: ARG-NH: Biden +19 (!)  (Read 924 times)
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 29, 2020, 11:15:28 AM »
https://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/pres20/

Biden 58
Trump 39
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,754
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2020, 11:15:59 AM »
ARGh.
Logged
Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,416


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2020, 11:16:24 AM »
New York and New England rural and periurban white seculars and cultural Christians are coming home to Uncle Joe, Exhibit S.
Logged
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,685


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2020, 11:16:58 AM »
Trump was campaigning here a few days ago. His internals also likely show a disaster in the northeast. His campaign knows it's over if he's being sent to states that are Safe Biden.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2020, 11:17:44 AM »
Lol this has Sununu up by only 5.
Logged
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,401
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2020, 11:18:06 AM »
But guys, if Trump wins this state and NV, he can afford to lose Wisconsin so....
Logged
Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,416


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2020, 11:18:28 AM »
Quote from: Beida on October 29, 2020, 11:16:58 AM
Trump was campaigning here a few days ago. His internals also likely show a disaster in the northeast. His campaign knows it's over if he's being sent to states that are Safe Biden.

The fact that the Trump campaign is devoting attention to both New Hampshire and Indiana is definitely a mark of desperation. Reps in disarray!
Logged
DaleCooper
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,031


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2020, 11:18:50 AM »
Quote from: Beida on October 29, 2020, 11:16:58 AM
Trump was campaigning here a few days ago. His internals also likely show a disaster in the northeast. His campaign knows it's over if he's being sent to states that are Safe Biden.

I suspect they're just letting Trump go wherever he wants. He clearly wants to flip a Clinton state and it's not like his rallies help at all, so his campaign is probably glad to send him places that aren't competitive.
Logged
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,682
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2020, 11:18:58 AM »
NH is Safe D, new england is going hard against this administration
Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,689
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 29, 2020, 11:19:15 AM »
I don't believe this but Trump was never even close here.
Logged
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,685


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2020, 11:19:36 AM »
Another poll showing the strongest Democratic performance in a state since 1964. This thing's going to be a blow-out.
Logged
Kuumo
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,082


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 29, 2020, 11:22:44 AM »
The NH women are angrier than ever!
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,734


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 29, 2020, 11:27:49 AM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on October 29, 2020, 11:18:06 AM
But guys, if Trump wins this state and NV, he can afford to lose Wisconsin so....



Definately a huge concern. If 2016 taught us anything, Trump outperforms polling, especially in northern rural white states, which NH is. Therefore, I suspect we'll see anywhere from a 20% to a 135% overperformance in projected margin. Biden needs to have a 50 point lead at least for this to become tilt D, and even then, I'm still not confident in saying that. It's just #facts that a Trump win in NH is inevitable.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 29, 2020, 11:34:24 AM »
October 26-28
600 likely voters
MoE: 4%
Changes with September 25-28

Biden 58% (+5)
Trump 39% (-5)
Jorgensen 1% (n/c)
Undecided 2% (n/c)
Logged
Rand
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,142
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 29, 2020, 11:37:57 AM »
Corroborates the overwhelmingly blue NH donor map.
Logged
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,301
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 29, 2020, 12:00:13 PM »
Titanium D
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 29, 2020, 12:12:58 PM »
Think they had Trump up 5 in 2016 lolz
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,940


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 29, 2020, 08:46:58 PM »
New Poll: New Hampshire President by ARG on 2020-10-28

Summary: D: 58%, R: 39%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.048 seconds with 12 queries.