NJ - Rutgers-Eagleton: Biden +24

[VAR]

Oct. 18-24, 872 LV, MoE: 4%

Biden 61%
Trump 37%

Source

[DaleCooper]

Tilt D

[Person Man]

Tossup

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Tilt D

Get out of here, RCP.

[Roll Roons]

That gender gap just seems insane.

[The Mikado]

If that turns out accurate, it'll be the best Dem performance in NJ since 1964.

[Rand]

More evidence that Biden will win Pennsylvania.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

834 likely voters

Neither 1%
Someone else 0%
Don't know 1%

Among 922 registered voters (changes with April 22 - May 2):

Biden 59% (+3)
Trump 37% (+4)
Neither 2% (-2)
Someone else 1% (n/c)
Don't know 1% (-6)

[ProgressiveModerate]

Evidence that Biden is improving in suburbs globally. NJ is basically one giant suburb with a piece of Newark and Jersey City, both of which are pretty suburban

[Ferguson97]

Good for Trump

[kireev]

Their party ID is a bit too DEM-friendly. Looking at the ballot return trends Biden will probably win NJ by 20%.

[CookieDamage]

Evidence that Biden is improving in suburbs globally. NJ is basically one giant suburb with a piece of Newark and Jersey City, both of which are pretty suburban

Newark is a strong MAYBE as it has some low density housing in the outskirts, but both are definitely cities.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Evidence that Biden is improving in suburbs globally. NJ is basically one giant suburb with a piece of Newark and Jersey City, both of which are pretty suburban

Newark is a strong MAYBE as it has some low density housing in the outskirts, but both are definitely cities.

They're both borderline cases of cities vs suburbs. Jersey City physically looks more like a city but has a more suburban culture, whereas Newark looks more like a suburban or rural area but is culturally a city.

[forza nocta]

I'd be surprised if Biden hits 60% here. I say he'll end up around 56-58%

[Senator Incitatus]

Evidence that Biden is improving in suburbs globally. NJ is basically one giant suburb with a piece of Newark and Jersey City, both of which are pretty suburban

Newark is a strong MAYBE as it has some low density housing in the outskirts, but both are definitely cities.

They're both borderline cases of cities vs suburbs. Jersey City physically looks more like a city but has a more suburban culture, whereas Newark looks more like a suburban or rural area but is culturally a city.

They are not close to suburbs, certainly not for the purposes of any political discussion.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Evidence that Biden is improving in suburbs globally. NJ is basically one giant suburb with a piece of Newark and Jersey City, both of which are pretty suburban

Newark is a strong MAYBE as it has some low density housing in the outskirts, but both are definitely cities.

They're both borderline cases of cities vs suburbs. Jersey City physically looks more like a city but has a more suburban culture, whereas Newark looks more like a suburban or rural area but is culturally a city.

They are not close to suburbs, certainly not for the purposes of any political discussion.

Jersey City is basically a suburb of NY and I can see Newark from my window; it’s definately not a city

[Andy Hine]

Evidence that Biden is improving in suburbs globally. NJ is basically one giant suburb with a piece of Newark and Jersey City, both of which are pretty suburban

Newark is a strong MAYBE as it has some low density housing in the outskirts, but both are definitely cities.

They're both borderline cases of cities vs suburbs. Jersey City physically looks more like a city but has a more suburban culture, whereas Newark looks more like a suburban or rural area but is culturally a city.

They are not close to suburbs, certainly not for the purposes of any political discussion.

Jersey City is basically a suburb of NY and I can see Newark from my window; it’s definately not a city

Newark is a city; deal with it.

[charcuterie]

This type of result is better than I expected out of New Jersey. We'll see if it holds next week but it's a positive sign for the Northeast (and PA).

[Andy Hine]

Evidence that Biden is improving in suburbs globally. NJ is basically one giant suburb with a piece of Newark and Jersey City, both of which are pretty suburban

Newark is a strong MAYBE as it has some low density housing in the outskirts, but both are definitely cities.

They're both borderline cases of cities vs suburbs. Jersey City physically looks more like a city but has a more suburban culture, whereas Newark looks more like a suburban or rural area but is culturally a city.

One of the dumbest things I've read on this forum in a long time

[ProgressiveModerate]

Evidence that Biden is improving in suburbs globally. NJ is basically one giant suburb with a piece of Newark and Jersey City, both of which are pretty suburban

Newark is a strong MAYBE as it has some low density housing in the outskirts, but both are definitely cities.

They're both borderline cases of cities vs suburbs. Jersey City physically looks more like a city but has a more suburban culture, whereas Newark looks more like a suburban or rural area but is culturally a city.

One of the dumbest things I've read on this forum in a long time

I have been to Jersey City so many times and have seen Newark. They are both pretty suburban, even if Jersey City May look like a city

[forza nocta]

Newark is definitely a city. Its not a large city, but its still a city.

[Andy Hine]

Evidence that Biden is improving in suburbs globally. NJ is basically one giant suburb with a piece of Newark and Jersey City, both of which are pretty suburban

Newark is a strong MAYBE as it has some low density housing in the outskirts, but both are definitely cities.

They're both borderline cases of cities vs suburbs. Jersey City physically looks more like a city but has a more suburban culture, whereas Newark looks more like a suburban or rural area but is culturally a city.

One of the dumbest things I've read on this forum in a long time

I have been to Jersey City so many times and have seen Newark. They are both pretty suburban, even if Jersey City May look like a city

They're cities.

[Progressive Pessimist]

...Ignoring the bizarre discussion of whether New Jersey's two largest urban areas are cities or not, I would love for this result to happen in my state! I think it's a bit too generous to Biden though. He'll still win big but I don't expect by being more than around 20% of the vote. Van Drew is probably screwed though, and that's going to be the best part! Should he lose he will easily win the "Biggest Idiot Politician of the Year" award, yes even more than McSally or Trump.

[Calthrina950]

Women and college-educated suburbanites are revolting against the Republican Party-and New Jersey has plenty of both. I would be shocked if Biden actually hit the 60% mark here. Not even Obama managed to do so, and as has been noted on here, the last Democrat to do so well in New Jersey was Lyndon Johnson in 1964.

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: New Jersey President by Eagleton-Rutgers on 2020-10-24

Summary: D: 61%, R: 37%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details