ME-SurveyUSA: Gideon +1/+2 (user search)
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  ME-SurveyUSA: Gideon +1/+2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME-SurveyUSA: Gideon +1/+2  (Read 2999 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: October 29, 2020, 06:04:08 AM »

> Collins has yet to lead a single public poll
> Doomers saying Collins will win bc reasons
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2020, 06:10:33 AM »

Guess we're gonna ignore that Gideon +3/+5 poll from yesterday Smiley
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wbrocks67
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Posts: 23,411


« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2020, 07:00:06 AM »

People were way too confident about this race. I still think Gideon narrowly wins, but it was never a done deal.

No one is being overconfident. Most people expected a mid-single digits win for Gideon and that appears to be what we're most likely to get.

Again, we have not seen one single public poll this entire cycle with Collins winning. People are really out of pocket today.
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wbrocks67
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Posts: 23,411


« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2020, 07:05:57 AM »

People were way too confident about this race. I still think Gideon narrowly wins, but it was never a done deal.

No one is being overconfident. Most people expected a mid-single digits win for Gideon and that appears to be what we're most likely to get.

Again, we have not seen one single public poll this entire cycle with Collins winning. People are really out of pocket today.

You yourself are the exact person I was thinking of when I said that, and this post proves that

I was never overconfident? But there's nothing in the data that makes me think Collins will win. Sure, she could, but we've had low single digit Gideon leads for nearly the entire campaign.
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