ME-SurveyUSA: Gideon +1/+2
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  ME-SurveyUSA: Gideon +1/+2
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Author Topic: ME-SurveyUSA: Gideon +1/+2  (Read 2151 times)
VAR
VARepublican
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« on: October 29, 2020, 05:28:37 AM »
« edited: October 29, 2020, 05:42:15 AM by VARepublican »

Gideon 46%
Collins 45%
Savage 4%
Linn 1%

RCV:
Gideon 51%
Collins 49%

PRES: Biden +13
ME-02 PRES: 51-49 Biden

https://bangordailynews.com/2020/10/29/politics/sara-gideon-susan-collins-nearly-tied-in-poll-finding-ranked-choice-voting-helps-democrats/
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Woody
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2020, 05:28:58 AM »

Toss up.
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Woody
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2020, 05:29:42 AM »

Barrett no vote bump for Collins?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2020, 05:33:05 AM »

Collins voting against the Catholiban woman might save her after all ...
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2020, 05:33:55 AM »
« Edited: October 29, 2020, 05:44:22 AM by MillennialModerate »

Yup. Sheís going to hold on isnít she?

God Damn It. As I told you all and got laughed at for -
I knew the Senate wasnít going to happen - but Ill admit I didnít think it would be Maine to screw it up
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2020, 05:46:26 AM »
« Edited: October 29, 2020, 05:50:48 AM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

Collins voting against the Catholiban woman might save her after all ...

She voted for partisan judge Kavanaugh, which  saved GovJanet Mills from losing she was close in the MEGov race before Collins unwisly voted for Kavanaugh

ME always have close races Janet Mills didn't win a landslide in 2018, nor will she win one in 2022, but will win reelection🎃🎃🎃
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VAR
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« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2020, 05:55:36 AM »

No. Collins will lose by high-single/double digits because reasons.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2020, 06:04:08 AM »

> Collins has yet to lead a single public poll
> Doomers saying Collins will win bc reasons
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Horus
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« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2020, 06:06:26 AM »

Yup. Sheís going to hold on isnít she?

God Damn It. As I told you all and got laughed at for -
I knew the Senate wasnít going to happen - but Ill admit I didnít think it would be Maine to screw it up

It does make sense if you think about it. Maine is super wwc and the second district is a perfect fit both for Trump and for the direction I think the GOP is heading.

Hot take - Both Georgia seats are as or more likely to flip than Maine.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #9 on: October 29, 2020, 06:07:05 AM »

Tossup.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2020, 06:10:33 AM »

Guess we're gonna ignore that Gideon +3/+5 poll from yesterday Smiley
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: October 29, 2020, 06:11:55 AM »

Gideon will win by seven 50-43 like Gov Mills beat Shawn Moody, that's been her average

Gov Mills 50
Moody 43

Sen Gideon 50
Ex Sen Collins 43
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #12 on: October 29, 2020, 06:28:44 AM »

Yup. Sheís going to hold on isnít she?

God Damn It. As I told you all and got laughed at for -
I knew the Senate wasnít going to happen - but Ill admit I didnít think it would be Maine to screw it up

It does make sense if you think about it. Maine is super wwc and the second district is a perfect fit both for Trump and for the direction I think the GOP is heading.

Hot take - Both Georgia seats are as or more likely to flip than Maine.

The Georgia seats are not flipping.
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TheTide
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« Reply #13 on: October 29, 2020, 06:29:01 AM »

Collins is still the underdog if Biden is up by 13.
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Overturn Dobbs
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« Reply #14 on: October 29, 2020, 06:37:14 AM »

Dang man. Don't tell me they were fooled by that nakedly performative 'no' vote.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: October 29, 2020, 06:46:25 AM »

Collins isn't down to almost a tie since it's a blue wave
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #16 on: October 29, 2020, 06:55:07 AM »

People were way too confident about this race. I still think Gideon narrowly wins, but it was never a done deal.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #17 on: October 29, 2020, 07:00:06 AM »

People were way too confident about this race. I still think Gideon narrowly wins, but it was never a done deal.

No one is being overconfident. Most people expected a mid-single digits win for Gideon and that appears to be what we're most likely to get.

Again, we have not seen one single public poll this entire cycle with Collins winning. People are really out of pocket today.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #18 on: October 29, 2020, 07:00:58 AM »

People were way too confident about this race. I still think Gideon narrowly wins, but it was never a done deal.

No one is being overconfident. Most people expected a mid-single digits win for Gideon and that appears to be what we're most likely to get.

Again, we have not seen one single public poll this entire cycle with Collins winning. People are really out of pocket today.

You yourself are the exact person I was thinking of when I said that, and this post proves that
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #19 on: October 29, 2020, 07:05:57 AM »

People were way too confident about this race. I still think Gideon narrowly wins, but it was never a done deal.

No one is being overconfident. Most people expected a mid-single digits win for Gideon and that appears to be what we're most likely to get.

Again, we have not seen one single public poll this entire cycle with Collins winning. People are really out of pocket today.

You yourself are the exact person I was thinking of when I said that, and this post proves that

I was never overconfident? But there's nothing in the data that makes me think Collins will win. Sure, she could, but we've had low single digit Gideon leads for nearly the entire campaign.
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Blair
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« Reply #20 on: October 29, 2020, 07:06:11 AM »

Yup. Sheís going to hold on isnít she?

God Damn It. As I told you all and got laughed at for -
I knew the Senate wasnít going to happen - but Ill admit I didnít think it would be Maine to screw it up

have you donated any time or money to helping any of the senate races?
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #21 on: October 29, 2020, 07:10:35 AM »

Yup. Sheís going to hold on isnít she?

God Damn It. As I told you all and got laughed at for -
I knew the Senate wasnít going to happen - but Ill admit I didnít think it would be Maine to screw it up

Nope
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Hassan 2022
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« Reply #22 on: October 29, 2020, 07:20:31 AM »

RCV will help Gideon and partisanship will win out in this race in the end. Tilt D.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #23 on: October 29, 2020, 07:23:28 AM »

Yup. Sheís going to hold on isnít she?

God Damn It. As I told you all and got laughed at for -
I knew the Senate wasnít going to happen - but Ill admit I didnít think it would be Maine to screw it up

She's still trailing in the poll... by no means is she bound to win.
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Figueira
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« Reply #24 on: October 29, 2020, 07:24:43 AM »

Yup. Sheís going to hold on isnít she?

God Damn It. As I told you all and got laughed at for -
I knew the Senate wasnít going to happen - but Ill admit I didnít think it would be Maine to screw it up

It does make sense if you think about it. Maine is super wwc and the second district is a perfect fit both for Trump and for the direction I think the GOP is heading.

Hot take - Both Georgia seats are as or more likely to flip than Maine.

This take makes no sense given the presidential numbers in this poll. If Collins wins it's because there are still some Democrats who think she's reasonable.

Anyway, Tilt D.
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