MI - Mitchell Research/MIRS (R): Biden +10%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://mirsnews.com/images/MIRS-Mitchell_Poll_Press_Release-_Field_Copy_-_Crosstabs_10-28-20.pdf

October 25-27
759 likely voters
MoE: 3.56%
Changes with October 18

Biden 52% (+1)
Trump 42% (+1)
Jorgensen 3% (n/c)
Hawkins 0% (but with some voters) (-1)
Someone else 0% (but with some voters) (-1)
Not sure 2% (-1)

[rhg2052]

You love to see it.

[EJ24]

NICE!!!

[Bootes Void]

This is a republican internal btw

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

I keep wanting to be cautious and say to myself "Trump could win states like MI/PA/WI if WWC turnout is high on election day and squeeze out a bare electoral college majority" but basically every new poll, especially of the ones that seem to have come out today, makes this a more and more tenuous possibility to the point that it becoming implausible.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Unless Republicans are deliberately releasing unusually bad internal polls to try to trick Democratic voters into complacency (unlikely), it seems like this state is pretty solidly in the Biden column.

[kireev]

And this is with a sample, which is 88% white and 9% African American and only 30% college graduates. Trump is done in MI and it's not even going to be close.

Among those who have already voted Biden is leading 69% to 27%. Interestingly, almost 2% of those already voted still answered "Not sure"

[Rand]

After todays polls.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Interestingly, 2% of those already voted still answered "Not sure"

Understandable. Loyal Republicans walked into booths all over Michigan to vote as soon as they could for President Trump and split their tickets for one, and only one, candidate. Some of them still can't quite believe they did it but these men and women who once thought of themselves as diehard partisans can still hear the engine's roar in their dreams.

[Crumpets]

A Michigander discusses the state of the race with President Donald Trump (2020, colorized)

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

This is going to be a bloodbath on Tuesday, isn’t it

[Progressive Pessimist]

This is going to be a bloodbath on Tuesday, isn’t it

It won't be as red, outside of Atlas Talk Elections, of course.

[pbrower2a]

I keep wanting to be cautious and say to myself "Trump could win states like MI/PA/WI if WWC turnout is high on election day and squeeze out a bare electoral college majority" but basically every new poll, especially of the ones that seem to have come out today, makes this a more and more tenuous possibility to the point that it becoming implausible.

Is it also possible that Trump made promises that he either did not keep or that were made in a way that if he did keep them they would be unacceptable? He promised big spending on infrastructure, but most of the spending would have been on subsidies to sweeten privatization.  Workers had dreams of rebars for highway construction or reconstruction, which would have created jobs, but instead Trump meant heavy tolls on privatized freeways given away to profiteering monopolists, which means that people get priced off the highways.

I haven't seen an electoral collapse this severe since Carter in 1980.

[KaiserDave]

OOhhh yeaahhh, I am growing stronger, etc etc

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Stick a fork in Trump in two of the Rust Belt trio. It all comes down to the Keystone State, and I think Biden's going to do pretty well there too.

[philly09]

I keep wanting to be cautious and say to myself "Trump could win states like MI/PA/WI if WWC turnout is high on election day and squeeze out a bare electoral college majority" but basically every new poll, especially of the ones that seem to have come out today, makes this a more and more tenuous possibility to the point that it becoming implausible.

Is it also possible that Trump made promises that he either did not keep or that were made in a way that if he did keep them they would be unacceptable? He promised big spending on infrastructure, but most of the spending would have been on subsidies to sweeten privatization.  Workers had dreams of rebars for highway construction or reconstruction, which would have created jobs, but instead Trump meant heavy tolls on privatized freeways given away to profiteering monopolists, which means that people get priced off the highways.

I haven't seen an electoral collapse this severe since Carter in 1980.

Bush 1992 wasn't severe?

[pbrower2a]

Perot made it a three-way race and largely cannibalized conservative-leaning voters. Clinton co-opted the one thing that Bush did well (foreign policy).

[Ljube]

Unless Republicans are deliberately releasing unusually bad internal polls to try to trick Democratic voters into complacency (unlikely), it seems like this state is pretty solidly in the Biden column.

Mitchell is an exceptionally bad pollster.

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Michigan President by Mitchell Research on 2020-10-27

Summary: D: 52%, R: 42%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details