MN-SurveyUSA: Biden +5
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Author Topic: MN-SurveyUSA: Biden +5  (Read 1566 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 28, 2020, 06:23:03 PM »
Oct. 23-27

Biden 47%
Trump 42%

https://www.kaaltv.com/minnesota-news/biden-trump-minnesota-poll/5908472/
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2020, 06:24:26 PM »
Seems closer than it should be, but into the average.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2020, 06:24:43 PM »
Scary poll for Biden.
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Ljube
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2020, 06:26:57 PM »
Minnesota is a must win state for Trump.

If he is losing Arizona and possibly Georgia and/or North Carolina, he must sweep the Upper Midwest.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2020, 06:27:48 PM »
Hopefully Siena/NYT can come back through here.
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2020, 06:31:03 PM »
Their last poll was Biden +6 so not much movement but I would think MN would be close to double digits for Biden.
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Buzz
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2020, 06:32:00 PM »
Seems spot on to me.
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vitoNova
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2020, 06:34:26 PM »
LOL @ thinking that the classic Blue State-Red State paradigm is something that was going to last for the next century.   
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2020, 06:34:28 PM »
« Edited: October 28, 2020, 06:49:48 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »
For ABC6 News
Changes with October 16-20 poll for KSTP

Biden 47% (-1)
Trump 42% (n/c)
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forza nocta
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2020, 06:34:50 PM »
SUSA’s MN and NC polls for Biden have not been good lol
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #10 on: October 28, 2020, 06:35:57 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 28, 2020, 06:26:57 PM
Minnesota is a must win state for Trump.

If he is losing Arizona and possibly Georgia and/or North Carolina, he must sweep the Upper Midwest.


He'll be lucky to win Iowa at this point. Not gonna happen.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #11 on: October 28, 2020, 06:37:46 PM »
Anyway, the fact that even Trafalgar has Biden up 3 here makes me not worried about MN at all. That plus this in no way vibes with the national polls. Seems like an outlier.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #12 on: October 28, 2020, 06:38:59 PM »
Hmmm... significant disagreement in the Midwest at this point.  The good news for Biden is that the low end polls still look like Obama 2012 while the high end polls look like Obama 2008. 
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Hammy
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« Reply #13 on: October 28, 2020, 06:40:51 PM »
Quote from: forza nocta on October 28, 2020, 06:34:50 PM
SUSA’s MN and NC polls for Biden have not been good lol

SUSA has a couple point R bias even in 2016.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #14 on: October 28, 2020, 06:42:02 PM »
Looks like a very Republican sample.

2016 Vote: Trump 40 Clinton 36

Party ID: Rep 37 Dem 34 Ind 25

https://kstp.com/politics/kstp-surveyusa-poll-shows-biden-still-leading-minnesota-but-race-tightens-election-2020/5908560/?cat=1
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #15 on: October 28, 2020, 06:42:35 PM »

Well that would explain a lot. The fact that Biden still leads by 5 is telling.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #16 on: October 28, 2020, 06:43:30 PM »

SUSA's North Carolina poll had the same issue. Maybe they're trying to find the "shy Trump voter" too.
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Badger
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« Reply #17 on: October 28, 2020, 06:45:49 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on October 28, 2020, 06:42:35 PM

Well that would explain a lot. The fact that Biden still leads by 5 is telling.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #18 on: October 28, 2020, 06:46:51 PM »
Education numbers way off too. Only 34% college graduates.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #19 on: October 28, 2020, 06:49:43 PM »
I guess it's "freak out about Minnesota time" again. It'll be over as soon as it began though, as usual.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #20 on: October 28, 2020, 06:50:26 PM »

Oh that explains it
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #21 on: October 28, 2020, 06:53:07 PM »
More details added:

October 23-27
649 likely voters
MoE: 4.3%

Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on October 28, 2020, 06:34:28 PM
For KSTP and ABC6 News
Changes with October 16-20 poll for KSTP

Biden 47% (-1)
Trump 42% (n/c)
Some other candidate 5%
Undecided 6%
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Gass3268
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« Reply #22 on: October 28, 2020, 06:53:37 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on October 28, 2020, 06:46:51 PM
Education numbers way off too. Only 34% college graduates.

That would bad in almost every state in the Midwest, let alone Minnesota and their 45.22% college degree attainment.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #23 on: October 28, 2020, 06:58:44 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on October 28, 2020, 06:42:35 PM

Well that would explain a lot. The fact that Biden still leads by 5 is telling.

Not to mention, 11% other/undecided at this stage of the game is unacceptable
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #24 on: October 28, 2020, 08:42:18 PM »
New Poll: Minnesota President by Survey USA on 2020-10-27

Summary: D: 47%, R: 42%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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