NC - ALG Research (D): Cunningham +12
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  NC - ALG Research (D): Cunningham +12
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Author Topic: NC - ALG Research (D): Cunningham +12  (Read 1482 times)
VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 01, 2020, 12:14:42 PM »

Cunningham 53%
Tillis 41%

https://04acb8ce-8717-494a-8b55-56f4a82a107c.usrfiles.com/ugd/04acb8_121df148ec7b4053b105c08f0221a51a.pdf

LOL
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2020, 12:19:28 PM »

IDK, you really don't think Cunningham can win by this big, and I don't think he will, but we've certainly had a large share of polls around Cunningham +7-12, more than you would expect...
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2020, 12:20:49 PM »

For Piedmont Rising
September 22-28
822 voters
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2020, 12:28:05 PM »

Under no circumstances is Cunningham going to get a better margin than Cooper.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2020, 12:34:36 PM »

It's crazy how all polls agree more or less on the presidential race but when it comes to senate we have everything from Cunningham +1 to +15.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2020, 12:35:23 PM »

Tillis DOA
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2020, 12:46:49 PM »

Really absurd that this race is still being called a toss-up.
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Gracile
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« Reply #7 on: October 01, 2020, 12:48:36 PM »

I'm not sure I buy Cunningham doing about as well as Cooper.
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Sestak
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« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2020, 12:56:07 PM »

Fwiw he's outrunning Biden here by 9. So even if this poll is D skewed it's very promising for him.
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We Live in Black and White
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« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2020, 01:03:26 PM »

To think I used to doubt Cunningham.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2020, 01:08:38 PM »


Greenfield and Cunningham have done very well at being lowkey Ds and good fits for their states tbh
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2020, 01:12:46 PM »

Likely a push poll. Cunningham isn’t actually going to outrun Biden by 9 points.
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Pollster
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« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2020, 01:15:50 PM »

Cunningham will likely win, but because of polls like this we're certainly destined for six years of "Cunningham is doomed in 2026 because he underperformed his polling in 2020!!!!!" because Atlas is obsessed with margins in polls.
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Xing
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« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2020, 01:27:51 PM »

Pretty clearly junk, as Cunningham isn't going to overperform Cooper or overperform Biden by 9. While I do think the reality is closer to Cunningham +1-3 than Cunningham +7-12, Tillis is running out of time to consolidate the undecided voters, which most people seem to agree is his main path to victory.
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SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2020, 01:32:27 PM »

Tillis' only chance at this point is to consolidate the undecided voters, which hasn't happened yet. Although he's not going to lose by 12 points, he's definitely the underdog.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #15 on: October 01, 2020, 02:46:35 PM »

Likely a push poll. Cunningham isn’t actually going to outrun Biden by 9 points.

A junky internal, most probably, but 538 omits post-“message-tested” results as a rule.
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VAR
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« Reply #16 on: December 07, 2020, 06:55:36 PM »

lol
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WD
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« Reply #17 on: December 07, 2020, 06:56:53 PM »


maybe he should’ve ran ads about young kim
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