MT - MSU Billings: Trump +7
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October 20, 2021, 05:28:52 AM

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE)
  MT - MSU Billings: Trump +7
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Author Topic: MT - MSU Billings: Trump +7  (Read 1129 times)
VAR
VARepublican
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« on: October 28, 2020, 03:44:18 PM »

Oct. 19-24, 546 LV, MoE: 4.2%

Trump 52%
Biden 45%
Jorgensen 1%
Undecided 2%

SEN: 48-47 Bullock
GOV: 45-45 TIE
House: 47-46 Rosendale

https://www.msubillings.edu/class/nams/polls/2020-mountain-states-poll-report.pdf
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2020, 03:44:52 PM »

Bullock leading is amazing
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2020, 03:58:32 PM »

About what I expect the final margin to be. Also, all three major statewide races are absurdly close toss-ups as expected.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2020, 04:07:58 PM »

Lean R Montana
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One Term Floridian
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2020, 04:09:04 PM »

Ok this seems more legit than the PPP poll
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redjohn
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2020, 04:10:16 PM »

Montana being closer than WI, MI, and PA with six days until the election Cheesy
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Figueira
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2020, 04:35:05 PM »

Is Montana the Montana 2008 of 2020?
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Storr
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2020, 05:56:05 PM »


#Populism Smiley
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2020, 06:06:20 PM »

Is Montana the Montana 2008 of 2020?

There were polls that showed Obama ahead in MT in 2008, so probably not. To those paying attention, it wasn't shocking that MT was so close.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?fips=30
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Figueira
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2020, 08:12:48 PM »

Is Montana the Montana 2008 of 2020?

There were polls that showed Obama ahead in MT in 2008, so probably not. To those paying attention, it wasn't shocking that MT was so close.

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?fips=30

True, I remember that. I guess we'll have to wait and see what metaphor is most appropriate here.
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philly09
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« Reply #10 on: October 28, 2020, 08:13:59 PM »

Early voting has been eye opening in MT.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #11 on: October 28, 2020, 08:37:07 PM »

Off topic, but Montana probably has the best turnout in the country, right now. They are over 80% of their 2016 vote, and unlike Texas and Hawaii (which were bottom 5 in 2016 turnout), Montana was top 10. So they had a higher bar to reach.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #12 on: October 28, 2020, 08:39:23 PM »

New Poll: Montana President by Montana State University on 2020-10-24

Summary: D: 45%, R: 52%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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philly09
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« Reply #13 on: October 28, 2020, 08:42:11 PM »

Off topic, but Montana probably has the best turnout in the country, right now. They are over 80% of their 2016 vote, and unlike Texas and Hawaii (which were bottom 5 in 2016 turnout), Montana was top 10. So they had a higher bar to reach.

If Biden gets Georgia and Montana and Arizona, it would be a mix of Clinton's 1992 and 1996 map.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #14 on: October 28, 2020, 08:51:04 PM »

Off topic, but Montana probably has the best turnout in the country, right now. They are over 80% of their 2016 vote, and unlike Texas and Hawaii (which were bottom 5 in 2016 turnout), Montana was top 10. So they had a higher bar to reach.

Montana is all-mail (except a few rural counties) this year, though, and mailed out ballots quite early, so they will be basically done voting before election day.
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Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2020, 10:55:33 PM »

Joe Montana!
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