GA-Mammoth: Ossoff and Warnock lead
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
January 27, 2023, 10:12:13 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls
  GA-Mammoth: Ossoff and Warnock lead
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: GA-Mammoth: Ossoff and Warnock lead  (Read 1932 times)
Panda Express
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,577


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 28, 2020, 12:02:15 PM »
« edited: October 28, 2020, 12:05:27 PM by Panda Express »

Ossoff: 49%
Perdue: 46%


Warnock: 41%
Loeffler: 21%
Collins: 18%

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_ga_102820.pdf/
Logged
Horus
Sheliak5
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,271
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2020, 12:06:18 PM »

Georgia is a joke - Biden has a minuscule chance there, Osoff has almost no chance and Warnock forget it
Logged
ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,905
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.45, S: -3.91

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2020, 12:06:45 PM »

Georgia is a joke - Biden has a minuscule chance there, Osoff has almost no chance and Warnock forget it


There you go Horus!
Logged
Mr.Barkari Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 74,525
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2020, 12:10:17 PM »

55/45 Senate is doable

We still haven't seen a real KS poll

The core 4 states plus IA, GA, and MT
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,131


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2020, 12:12:24 PM »

October 23-27
504 registered/likely voters
MoE: 4.4%
Changes with September 17-21

Registered voters
Ossoff 49% (+7)
Perdue 46% (-2)
Hazel (L) 2% (-2)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
No one 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Undecided 2% (-4)

Warnock 41% (+20)
Loeffler 21% (-2)
Collins 18% (-4)
Lieberman 4% (-7)
Other candidate 4% (+1)
Tarver 3% (-1)
Slowinski (L) 2% (-1)
No one 1% (+1 from at 0% but with some voters)
Undecided 6% (-7)

Loeffler v.s. Warnock - runoff
Warnock 49%
Loeffler 41%
No one/not vote 6%
Undecided 4%

Collins v.s. Warnock - runoff
Warnock 51%
Collins 39%
No one/not vote 7%
Undecided 4%

Likely voters - high turnout
Ossoff 49% (+6)
Perdue 47% (-1)

Warnock 41% (+18)
Loeffler 22%  (-1)
Collins 19% (-4)

Likely voters - low turnout
Ossoff 49% (+7)
Perdue 48% (-2)

Warnock 42% (+17)
Loeffler 22%  (-1)
Collins 20% (-4)

Presidentially: Biden 50-45/50-46/50-48, was Trump 47-46/48-46/50-45.
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,620


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2020, 12:15:26 PM »

I've long felt that people were sleeping on the possibility of Ossoff avoiding the runoff, and this poll confirms that there is a path.
Logged
Sirius0428
Ninja0428
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,171
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.00, S: -7.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2020, 12:15:50 PM »

Is Ossoff legit getting a late push?
Logged
TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,099
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2020, 12:16:22 PM »

I've long felt that people were sleeping on the possibility of Ossoff avoiding the runoff, and this poll confirms that there is a path.

I can feel it, I really can! It just might be there yet!
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,620


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2020, 12:17:09 PM »

I've long felt that people were sleeping on the possibility of Ossoff avoiding the runoff, and this poll confirms that there is a path.

I can feel it, I really can! It just might be there yet!

Someone should check to see if Amy Walter is okay, stat!
Logged
Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,185
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2020, 12:19:09 PM »

Warnock is going to win the run off and it will be lopsided.

Especially if Trump loses.
Logged
Orser67
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,844
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 28, 2020, 12:19:47 PM »

Logged
Pollster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,353


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 28, 2020, 12:22:23 PM »

Ossoff should be a model for smart politicking - learn from your defeats rather than explaining them away, make the right & necessary changes, prove your doubters (myself included) wrong, and come back strong. He's run an incredibly smart campaign.
Logged
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,580
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 28, 2020, 12:28:54 PM »

If Ossoff wins the first by 2 points, he will make it to 50, I'm convinced of it. I highly doubt Hazel gets more than 1.5% of the vote.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,768
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 28, 2020, 12:39:06 PM »

Calling it: GA-R is Demsí 49th seat.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,198


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 28, 2020, 12:40:15 PM »


It certainly feels like momentum is breaking for Dems across the board in GA. There was just another $10M ad buy for GA-SEN races too (for Dems)
Logged
MRS DONNA SHALALA
cuddlebuns
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 522
South Africa


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 28, 2020, 12:42:01 PM »

Would still love it if Warnock made it through in round 1, I'm nervous about the turnout odds of a standalone Senate runoff, polls aside.
Logged
One Term Floridian
swamiG
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,014


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: 3.13


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 28, 2020, 12:43:12 PM »

Lean D
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,131


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 28, 2020, 12:45:58 PM »



If I've been reading things correctly (if anyone knows for sure, let me know!), write-in votes for invalid candidates, spoilt ballots and Senate ballots left blank by presidential/downballot votes aren't going to count towards setting the 50% threshold. Only the Libertarian can deny Ossoff or Perdue an outright win.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,747
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 28, 2020, 12:48:09 PM »

You mean people calling this Likely R and saying that Perdue would massively overperform Biden were wrong? Say it ain't so! I guess the Democratic ceiling of 44% 45% 46% 48.8% isn't as impenetrable as many thought.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,622
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 28, 2020, 12:51:56 PM »

Not bad for two of the worst Democratic candidates ever. /s
Logged
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,863
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 28, 2020, 01:12:23 PM »

Warnock is going to win the run off and it will be lopsided.

Especially if Trump loses.

Why would he have better chances if Trump loses?
It seems counter-intuitive to me.
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,165
United States


P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 28, 2020, 01:27:29 PM »

Georgia is a joke - Biden has a minuscule chance there, Osoff has almost no chance and Warnock forget it

If even Horus is on board, we're gonna definitely win lol
Logged
The Address That Must Not be Named
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,504
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 28, 2020, 01:38:30 PM »
« Edited: October 28, 2020, 01:56:58 PM by Unbeatable Titan Joni Ernst »

In the interest of fairness, I think my accolades for calling that Osoff was a solid recruit pretty early on are probably canceled out by how much of a doomer I was Re: Warnock.  Hopefully we get two New Democratic Senators from Georgia; thatíd be amazing Smiley
Logged
gerritcole
goatofalltrades
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,537


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 28, 2020, 02:41:01 PM »

Warnock would be close to winning w/o a runoff if Lieberman and Tarver were team players
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,449



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 28, 2020, 02:43:58 PM »

I think Ossoff ends up avoiding a runoff, actually. It looks like those assholes like Lieberman will force Warnock into a runoff though, but Loeffler and Collins are so weak that Warnock still has a great chance.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.083 seconds with 13 queries.