NC-SurveyUSA: Cunningham +3
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Author Topic: NC-SurveyUSA: Cunningham +3  (Read 905 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 28, 2020, 03:13:24 PM »

Oct. 23-26, 627 LV, MoE: 4.9%

Cunningham (D) 48% (-1)
Tillis (R-inc) 45% (+7)
Other 3% (n/c)
Undecided 4% (-4)

PRES: 48-48 TIE

https://wwwcache.wral.com/asset/news/state/nccapitol/2020/10/28/19358931/PollPrint-DMID1-5oo9enrtq.pdf
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2020, 03:20:57 PM »

Changes with Oct. 8-11
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2020, 03:32:48 PM »

Survey USA is a good pollster but this kind of extreme swings are just hurting its credibility.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2020, 08:54:41 PM »

Survey USA is a good pollster but this kind of extreme swings are just hurting its credibility.

The extreme swing makes sense when you consider the scandal
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2020, 09:01:32 PM »

Survey USA is a good pollster but this kind of extreme swings are just hurting its credibility.

The extreme swing makes sense when you consider the scandal

Literally no other NC-Sen poll has shown more than a 1-2% swing in Tillis's favor post scandal (a few showed Cunningham gaining ground). Stop cherry picking data to make yourself more unhappy.
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Orser67
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2020, 09:09:04 PM »

They also show the race going from Biden+5 to a tie. I think this is more about the randomness of polling than about Cunningham's affair.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2020, 09:10:54 PM »
« Edited: October 28, 2020, 09:15:20 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

Progressive Moderate, his map may not be the most accurate AK,  MT, KS and TX arent gonna be decided on election day, they are states that votes are counted on Election day forward. They said MT, KS, AK and TX Senate races are gonna take weeks to decide and they are all within the margin of error🎃🎃🎃

Sullivan plus 3
Bollier plus 1
MT Bullock plus 1
Cornyn plus 5

It will be 52 D-41R and 7 UD after Nov 3rd  AZ, CO, IA, ME and NC flips D and AL flips R

Whike

GA, AK, KS, MT and TX undecided

No wonder why polling has been inconsistent
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2020, 09:36:48 PM »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Survey USA on 2020-10-25

Summary: D: 48%, R: 45%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2020, 02:48:40 AM »

Survey USA is a good pollster but this kind of extreme swings are just hurting its credibility.

The extreme swing makes sense when you consider the scandal

Literally no other NC-Sen poll has shown more than a 1-2% swing in Tillis's favor post scandal (a few showed Cunningham gaining ground). Stop cherry picking data to make yourself more unhappy.

More importantly, their previous poll was entirely post-scandal.
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