MN-Gravis Marketing: Biden +14
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Author Topic: MN-Gravis Marketing: Biden +14  (Read 1084 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 27, 2020, 01:38:34 PM »
53-39 Biden/Trump

Quote
Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 657 registered, likely voters in Minnesota. The poll was conducted from October 24th through the 26th and has a margin of error of 3.8%.

https://gravismarketing.com/minnesota-poll-results/
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2020, 01:42:04 PM »
« Edited: October 27, 2020, 01:45:47 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »
Uncertain 8%
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2020, 01:42:44 PM »
Lol, why are there more undecideds now? Something is sketchy
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2020, 01:44:34 PM »
Man Gravis has gotten weird. Historically a pollster that leans R, now a pollster that pretty clearly leans D.

Into the average, I guess, because at least it will balance out the next Trafalgar poll that somehow shows this state tied.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2020, 01:45:12 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on October 27, 2020, 01:42:44 PM
Lol, why are there more undecideds now? Something is sketchy
The last one pushed leaners.

Edit: I removed trends as that was a registered voters poll.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2020, 01:45:51 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on October 27, 2020, 01:45:12 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on October 27, 2020, 01:42:44 PM
Lol, why are there more undecideds now? Something is sketchy
The last one pushed leaners.

Edit: I removed trends as that was a registered voters poll.

Ah I see
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2020, 01:51:14 PM »
Quote from: darthpi on October 27, 2020, 01:44:34 PM
Man Gravis has gotten weird. Historically a pollster that leans R, now a pollster that pretty clearly leans D.

Into the average, I guess, because at least it will balance out the next Trafalgar poll that somehow shows this state tied.

Yep.
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MplsDem
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2020, 02:04:02 PM »
« Edited: October 27, 2020, 02:09:33 PM by MplsDem »
Looking at the demographics of the sample, 44% with a degree might be a tad high.  Also, more independents than Republicans(35D-34I-31R) is a bit of a head scratcher.  

Edit:  Trump is getting 43% of black voters in this poll!, and only 40% of whites? That's really hard to believe.

Also, it's a Clinton +7 sample.  This poll should go straight to the trash.
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2020, 02:05:35 PM »
It's the battle of the trash pollsters... Gravyis vs Trafailgur

Where is Memerson?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2020, 02:27:15 PM »
No idea what Gravis is doing but I’m loving their numbers!
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kireev
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2020, 06:49:26 PM »
+7 Clinton sample. But the rest looks about right.
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Hammy
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2020, 07:08:11 PM »
Quote from: Lemme tell you how Bernie can still win in 2016 & 2020 on October 27, 2020, 02:05:35 PM
It's the battle of the trash pollsters... Gravyis vs Trafailgur

Where is Memerson?

Gravis was actually one of the more relatively accurate pollsters in 2016 in the Rust Belt
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2020, 07:11:07 PM »
Reminder it's good to have outliers leaning towards you because the winning side usually has more outliers showing it winning.
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