NC - RMG Research/PoliticalIQ: Biden +1% (user search)
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  NC - RMG Research/PoliticalIQ: Biden +1% (search mode)
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Author Topic: NC - RMG Research/PoliticalIQ: Biden +1%  (Read 1056 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776
« on: October 27, 2020, 01:03:58 PM »
http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/27/north-carolina-biden-48-trump-47/

October 24-26
800 likely voters
MoE: 3.5%
Changes with October 7-11

In all models: Another candidate 3% (+2)
Unsure 2% (-2)

Jorgensen and Hawkins also listed in previous survey (at 2% and 1% respectively)

Standard likely voters:
Biden 48% (+1)
Trump 47% (+2)

Strong Democratic turnout model:
Biden 50%  (+1)
Trump 46% (+3)

Strong Republican turnout model:
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47% (+3)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776
« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2020, 01:07:43 PM »
Quote from: BudgieForce on October 27, 2020, 01:06:30 PM
Does anyone feel like having 3 models is a cop out. Regardless of the result, you can say you were accurate.

At least they have an actual LV model (their actual guess) as opposed to Monmouth's decision to just post two LV scenarios and RV results.
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