NC - RMG Research/PoliticalIQ: Biden +1%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/27/north-carolina-biden-48-trump-47/

October 24-26
800 likely voters
MoE: 3.5%
Changes with October 7-11

In all models: Another candidate 3% (+2)
Unsure 2% (-2)

Jorgensen and Hawkins also listed in previous survey (at 2% and 1% respectively)

Standard likely voters:
Biden 48% (+1)
Trump 47% (+2)

Strong Democratic turnout model:
Biden 50%  (+1)
Trump 46% (+3)

Strong Republican turnout model:
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47% (+3)

[Mr.Phips]

Something tells me I don’t wanna see the Senate numbers here....

[Alben Barkley]

I think we're gonna end up with strong Democratic turnout.

[BudgieForce]

Does anyone feel like having 3 models is a cop out. Regardless of the result, you can say you were accurate.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Does anyone feel like having 3 models is a cop out. Regardless of the result, you can say you were accurate.

At least they have an actual LV model (their actual guess) as opposed to Monmouth's decision to just post two LV scenarios and RV results.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Within reasonable range.

[Buzz]

I think we're gonna end up with strong Democratic turnout.

I feel like turnout will be strong for both sides.  Probably best to just go with the standard result.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I think we're gonna end up with strong Democratic turnout.

I feel like turnout will be strong for both sides.  Probably best to just go with the standard result.

Yeah, have to agree with Buzz, that strong turnout on both sides prolly more or less cancels out, but it'll be interesting to see how unreliable voters who may not be affiliated with a party end up voting.

[wbrocks67]

Can we please get some high quality pollsters. This week is gonna be unbearable if all we're getting is Traf, RMG, Susquehanna, etc

[Alben Barkley]

I think we're gonna end up with strong Democratic turnout.

I feel like turnout will be strong for both sides.  Probably best to just go with the standard result.

Yeah, have to agree with Buzz, that strong turnout on both sides prolly more or less cancels out, but it'll be interesting to see how unreliable voters who may not be affiliated with a party end up voting.

They certainly seem to be leaning towards Biden based on polls and early indications. But we'll see I guess.

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: North Carolina President by RMG Research on 2020-10-26

Summary: D: 48%, R: 47%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details