LA - University of New Orleans: Trump +23%
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  LA - University of New Orleans: Trump +23%		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: LA - University of New Orleans: Trump +23%  (Read 986 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 27, 2020, 12:48:46 PM »
https://www.uno.edu/media/23301

October 22
755 likely voters
MoE: 3.6%

Trump 59%
Biden 36%
Someone else 4%
Undecided 1%
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2020, 12:50:20 PM »
That is a huge lead.
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kireev
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2020, 12:50:30 PM »
Trump is leading among black males Smiley
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2020, 12:51:23 PM »
We are really screwed if Trump is leading in Los Angeles by 23 points. Sad
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2020, 12:51:54 PM »
Quote from: kireev on October 27, 2020, 12:50:30 PM
Trump is leading among black males Smiley

LOL, junk poll.
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jdk
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2020, 12:56:11 PM »
Yeah, a poll showing Trump leading with black men yet still produces about the same overall margin as in 2016....
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Jay 🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2020, 12:59:14 PM »
Trash crosstabs, but a lot of pollsters have pretty weird ones too anyways. The topline is still amazing for Trump. Virtually no shift from 2016.

I suspect there will be some swing to Biden this year though, I can't imagine Louisiana votes identical to how it did in 2016.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2020, 01:00:10 PM »
Lots of bad polls although this one is a university poll
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2020, 01:02:07 PM »
Quote from: Jayde on October 27, 2020, 12:59:14 PM
Trash crosstabs, but a lot of pollsters have pretty weird ones too anyways. The topline is still amazing for Trump. Virtually no shift from 2016.

I suspect there will be some swing to Biden this year though, I can't imagine Louisiana votes identical to how it did in 2016.

Louisiana has remained steady for the last three elections. It makes Florida look super-elastic.
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Woody
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2020, 01:02:49 PM »
Hoping that Trump crosses 60% here.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2020, 01:12:51 PM »
I can believe this.  There is still a lot of rural swing left in Louisiana.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2020, 01:20:45 PM »
Crosstabs are obviously beyond absurd. Margin is more than I imagine it ends up, but not so completely absurd as to trash it, given the lack of other polling there.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2020, 10:44:28 PM »
New Poll: Louisiana President by University of New Orleans on 2020-10-22

Summary: D: 36%, R: 59%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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