I think Ossoff will get the plurality but it's becoming increasingly likely that both races go to a runoff
Perdue/Ossoff is not going to a runoff.
Why not? There have been scant polls with either of them over 50, most are decently under 50 for both of them. It's certainly a possibility that it won't, but it feels like it wouldn't be surprising for like a 49-48-3 vote or something.
The Libertarian numbers are just noise. Ossoff will clear 50 percent.
Why are you so confident in this? You were supremely confident about Stacey Abrams' chances in 2018, and we saw how that turned out. Now, I'm not going to dismiss the possibility of this entirely, especially since I've been thinking for some time that Biden will pull off a victory here.