CBS: FL: Biden +2, GA: Tied, NC: Biden +4
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  CBS: FL: Biden +2, GA: Tied, NC: Biden +4
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Author Topic: CBS: FL: Biden +2, GA: Tied, NC: Biden +4  (Read 2716 times)
Hindsight was 2020
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« on: October 25, 2020, 09:34:12 AM »
« edited: October 25, 2020, 09:37:14 AM by Hindsight is 2020 »



Other great data for Biden in FL the EV polling has Biden winning those who already voted early 61-37 while ED is 59/40 in Trump’s favor and NC has similar data
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forza nocta
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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2020, 09:35:02 AM »

Ill take it
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redjohn
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« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2020, 09:36:00 AM »

I'd like to see more polls showing Biden leading GA, but these recent NC numbers have been looking excellent.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2020, 09:39:45 AM »

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BudgieForce
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« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2020, 09:44:57 AM »

Never thought I'd see North Carolina voting to the left of Florida, but here we are.
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Horus
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« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2020, 09:46:11 AM »

The lack of undecideds is a beautiful thing.
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Rand
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« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2020, 09:46:47 AM »

Let the slaughter begin.
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TopShelfGoal
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« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2020, 09:47:10 AM »

NC looking very solid for the Ds.
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redjohn
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« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2020, 09:48:42 AM »

The lack of undecideds is a beautiful thing.

Obviously we don't need to compare everything to 2016, but noteworthy that Biden is at 51% in NC. Clinton didn't hit 51% in NC in even a single poll in 2016.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #9 on: October 25, 2020, 09:52:53 AM »

The remaining vote in these polls doesn't look too good for Trump, especially since Trump's voters more likely to be election day voters which by definition makes them less certain to turn out, even if only slightly.
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Asta
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« Reply #10 on: October 25, 2020, 09:53:18 AM »

I'm kind of surprised at NC's stride toward Biden recently.
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afleitch
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« Reply #11 on: October 25, 2020, 09:53:46 AM »

Obama didn't get over 50% in 2008 in NC.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #12 on: October 25, 2020, 09:59:50 AM »

Honestly, these numbers are just kind of "eh", not terrible by any means, but about what I would expect.
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #13 on: October 25, 2020, 10:00:58 AM »

Interesting to see the difference of whites with college degrees within the states.

I look at the caliber and quality of colleges/universities (amazing institutions throughout in NC, also very good in FL, uneven quality in GA) and correlate that to the Biden/Trump breakdown.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #14 on: October 25, 2020, 10:02:14 AM »

Quote
Other great data for Biden in FL the EV polling has Biden winning those who already voted early 61-37 while ED is 59/40 in Trump’s favor and NC has similar data

Where is Lurker? Is he... safe? Is he... all right?
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #15 on: October 25, 2020, 10:03:01 AM »

What happened to all that Bloomberg money that was supposed to put the nail in the coffin in Florida.
Biden is going to win this election easily across the nation as a whole.  But his campaign in Florida has been a disaster and it’s been obvious for months.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #16 on: October 25, 2020, 10:04:42 AM »
« Edited: October 25, 2020, 10:18:51 AM by Alben Barkley »

What happened to all that Bloomberg money that was supposed to put the nail in the coffin in Florida.
Biden is going to win this election easily across the nation as a whole.  But his campaign in Florida has been a disaster and it’s been obvious for months.

Bloomberg DID invest a boatload of money in the state. I would not say the campaign has been a disaster, but Florida was never gonna be a cakewalk. It’s Florida, after all.
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #17 on: October 25, 2020, 10:13:11 AM »

I fail to understand how NC suddenly has moved 5 points into Biden direction these last days. It hasn't happened the same in other swing states.

Maybe Biden is getting a "sexy Hunter bump" there? 😋
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #18 on: October 25, 2020, 10:14:48 AM »

I fail to understand how NC suddenly has moved 5 points into Biden direction these last days. It hasn't happened the same in other swing states.

Maybe Biden is getting a "sexy Hunter bump" there? 😋

Maybe. It’s a historically sexy state after all.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #19 on: October 25, 2020, 10:18:09 AM »

Read em' and weep doomers
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ExSky
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« Reply #20 on: October 25, 2020, 10:25:50 AM »

Lookin good. 3 gravy states for Joe and he’s got atleast a 50/50 shot in all of them. More like 75/25 in NC
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Umengus
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« Reply #21 on: October 25, 2020, 10:26:13 AM »

Trump +2 amongst indies in FL. I will take it.
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Buzz
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« Reply #22 on: October 25, 2020, 10:26:30 AM »

Trump appears ****ed in NC.  Ughhhhhh Just gotta hope Yougov misses by 6 here like in 2016 I guess.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #23 on: October 25, 2020, 10:29:06 AM »

Trump appears ****ed in NC.  Ughhhhhh Just gotta hope Yougov misses by 6 here like in 2016 I guess.

Yeah, just by winning MI+NC (and assuming a hold of all Clinton 2016 states), all Biden would need to do is win one of AZ, FL, PA or WI and he wins.  In that scenario, Trump would need to sweep all four.

I'm leaving NC at a pure toss-up, but if Trump loses here, he's finished.  
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #24 on: October 25, 2020, 10:30:12 AM »

All are realistic, but I think this year polls are going to be underestimating Biden the most in places like GA.
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