SD: Mason-Dixon: Trump +11
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  SD: Mason-Dixon: Trump +11
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Author Topic: SD: Mason-Dixon: Trump +11  (Read 2148 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 25, 2020, 01:06:16 AM »

New Poll: South Dakota President by Mason-Dixon on 2020-10-21

Summary: D: 40%, R: 51%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2020, 01:07:04 AM »

2016:

Trump +30
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soundchaser
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« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2020, 01:10:57 AM »

I do think this is a state where Trump will overperform, but this poll still doesn’t bode well for him.
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Ljube
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« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2020, 01:11:49 AM »

2016:

Mason-Dixon, SD, October 20

Trump: 44
Clinton: 37
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Stuart98
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« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2020, 01:12:10 AM »

Figured that this would be one of the states where Biden would improve the most; 2016 was anomalously bad. The state party is broke though which means it's going to be hard for Dems to properly recover.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2020, 01:13:26 AM »

2016:

Mason-Dixon, SD, October 20

Trump: 44
Clinton: 37


2018:

Noem +3

Actual: Noem +3
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Buzz
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« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2020, 01:21:54 AM »

Trump will win by over 20.
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TML
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« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2020, 01:24:09 AM »

It should also be noted that Romney won here by 18.
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Fusternino
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« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2020, 01:26:33 AM »

Fake news.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #9 on: October 25, 2020, 01:49:55 AM »

Sioux Falls flips... from the largest City in each state to vote from Trump thread....

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=386520.msg7562858#msg7562858

Def worthy of looking at TO by County in SD, where in '08 O'bama got 45% vs McCain 53%.

Incumbent Republican President at only 51% running for re-election, is a bit.... *grabs shirt and coughs into jacket* a bit under-performing.

Maybe if I get some time might run the SD EV metrics by county just for fun in a High Turnout Northern "Prairie Populist" kinda state, where the Ghosts of William Jennings Bryan still float across the Great Plains....

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Jennings_Bryan
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TopShelfGoal
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« Reply #10 on: October 25, 2020, 02:11:21 AM »

Consistent with the numbers we have seen from Alaska, Montana, Maine. Where Trump is struggling and seeing polling numbers worse than a uniform swing in states that have a large secular whites without a college degree population.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: October 25, 2020, 05:44:52 AM »

Trump isnt losing a Dakota
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #12 on: October 25, 2020, 06:01:57 AM »

October 19-21
625 likely voters
MoE: 4%

Other 3%
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #13 on: October 25, 2020, 08:02:14 AM »

Wow. Devastating if true. 19-point swing.

Can we get a poll from "swing state in 2008" North Dakota? Curious to see what's going on there.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #14 on: October 25, 2020, 08:12:45 AM »

Hmmm
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #15 on: October 25, 2020, 08:27:44 AM »

Bad poll for Trump, but I always take Dakota polls with a grain of salt as the Dakotas seem to be difficult to poll.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #16 on: October 25, 2020, 08:58:55 AM »

Not surprising considering the genocide Trump and Noem are in the midst of carrying out in this state.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #17 on: October 25, 2020, 09:00:27 AM »

Wow. Devastating if true. 19-point swing.

Can we get a poll from "swing state in 2008" North Dakota? Curious to see what's going on there.

Here you go: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_2008_United_States_presidential_election#North_Dakota
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Fargobison
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« Reply #18 on: October 25, 2020, 11:05:29 AM »

Both Dakota's are being ravaged by Covid right now, Trump will win them obviously but it is going to hurt him.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #19 on: October 25, 2020, 11:08:42 AM »

Not surprising considering the genocide Trump and Noem are in the midst of carrying out in this state.

It's really depressing to think that Billie Sutton was *thisclose* to winning and instead they got Trump hack Noem
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Rand
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« Reply #20 on: October 25, 2020, 11:54:58 AM »

COVID is rampant up here. I was just in South Dakota and, as I posted in the yard sign thread, there were a lot more Biden/Harris signs/flags in the rural, Western part of the state than one would expect.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #21 on: October 25, 2020, 01:00:59 PM »

At least in Sioux Falls, I’ve seen far more Biden yard signs than Trump yard signs.

I’m under no illusion that the state will be remotely close, though.
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redjohn
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« Reply #22 on: October 25, 2020, 01:14:54 PM »

Trump+11 in South Dakota??? Oh wow, it's really over, isn't it?
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #23 on: October 25, 2020, 04:11:38 PM »

COVID is rampant up here. I was just in South Dakota and, as I posted in the yard sign thread, there were a lot more Biden/Harris signs/flags in the rural, Western part of the state than one would expect.

The Sturgis super-spreader bump, despite locals not wanting the event to take place.

The Sovereign Nations attempting to seal off their land from outsiders to protect their people from COVID being overturned by the State Government bump.

The workers in the Food Processing facilities in the Eastern portions of the Dakotas being forced to work in environments that were unsafe or lose their jobs bump.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #24 on: October 25, 2020, 04:24:32 PM »


Think he meant a 2020 poll.
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