I have a hard time believing this. Meijer is a pretty good fit for this district and an above average candidate.
If anything, to my mind this lends more credence to the idea that something is quite off with the polls more broadly, now that we are long, long passed the golden age of polling.
We will find out in 10 days. Can't wait!
I’m not sure when the hell the “golden age of polling” was supposed to be exactly, but polls have never been more technically advanced than they are now. And rarely more accurate than they have been in most recent elections.
The golden age of polling was when most people answered their phones (especially their landlines). As far as I know, it's been difficult to fully compensate for this changing and response rates are getting worse.
Online polling can work but has its own issues and while the technologies have advanced, the costs have risen and the market has suffered as a result. Weighting by education constitutes an improvement but that's primarily because of the growth of an education divide, not because that sort of weighting was always necessary.
