MI-03 - Strategic National: Scholten+8 (no party ID weight), tied with party ID weight (user search)
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  MI-03 - Strategic National: Scholten+8 (no party ID weight), tied with party ID weight (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI-03 - Strategic National: Scholten+8 (no party ID weight), tied with party ID weight  (Read 369 times)
Alben Barkley
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« on: October 25, 2020, 05:26:04 PM »

I have a hard time believing this. Meijer is a pretty good fit for this district and an above average candidate.

If anything, to my mind this lends more credence to the idea that something is quite off with the polls more broadly, now that we are long, long passed the golden age of polling.

We will find out in 10 days. Can't wait!

The district level polling in 2016 caught the rural revolt against Dems while the national/state polls didn’t. Seems likely to me that this time they are catching a suburban revolt against the GOP better than the national/state polls. Far more likely that is the case than that the polls are all far off across the board, anyway. I’m not sure when the hell the “golden age of polling” was supposed to be exactly, but polls have never been more technically advanced than they are now. And rarely more accurate than they have been in most recent elections.
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