MT-AL - RMG Research/PoliticalIQ: TIE
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Author Topic: MT-AL - RMG Research/PoliticalIQ: TIE  (Read 404 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 25, 2020, 04:56:00 PM »

Oct 15-18, 800 LV, MoE: 3.5%

Rosendale (R) 47%
Williams (D) 47%

PRES: 50-46 Trump
SEN: 49-47 Daines
GOV: 48-45 Gianforte

http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/25/mt-us-congress-williamsd-47-rosendaler-47/
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2020, 04:58:52 PM »

All models:
Someone else 2%
Not sure 4

Strong Republican turnout:
Rosendale 49%
Williams 45%

Strong Democratic turnout:
Williams 49%
Rosendale 45%
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2020, 05:09:06 PM »


If Bullock loses, MT like MO will become a 1 party state. He will be one of the last Ds elected along with Tester
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2020, 10:25:14 PM »

seriously though, imagine if Montana ends up with an all-D congressional delegation lol
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2020, 01:20:25 AM »

seriously though, imagine if Montana ends up with an all-D congressional delegation lol

Conversely, it's starting to look increasingly plausible that Republicans win all of Montana's races by narrow margins-which by itself would be an astounding result, given the national environment. Very little ticket-splitting is being evidenced between these races.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2020, 03:59:38 AM »

I think MT like MO and WVA are becoming 1 party states and MT and WVA are gone in 2024, reelectibgTester was probably the last hurrah for D's in 2018. Sherrod Brown has a much better chance than Manchin and Tester
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