MT-RMG Research: Trump +4 (user search)
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  MT-RMG Research: Trump +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MT-RMG Research: Trump +4  (Read 2013 times)
redjohn
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,679


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
« on: October 24, 2020, 12:19:13 PM »

Trump probably wins MT by 6-8 points, which is disastrous. We're talking a 14-point swing (and potentially higher) in a state with a competitive Senate race.
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redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,679


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2020, 12:24:19 PM »

Trump probably wins MT by 6-8 points, which is disastrous. We're talking a 14-point swing (and potentially higher) in a state with a competitive Senate race.

#EmptyCalories

Montana will swing hard for Biden but the Rust/Sun Belts will swing Trump, I think is the argument.

It's unbelievable. I could buy MT swinging by 14 points and rust belt states swinging by a few points less, but you're obviously not going to see massive swings across swaths of the country while the rust belt somehow withstands the swings against Trump.
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redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,679


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2020, 12:26:17 PM »

This is not the states you need Biden getting votes in...

Again, if MT swings to Biden by 16 points as this poll would suggest, he's going to see swings towards him in lots of other states across the country, including battlegrounds with similar demographics.
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